ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022
Warming temperatures drive at least half of the magnitude of long-term trait changes in European birds.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Changes in phenology mediate vertebrate population responses to temperature globally.Nature communications · 2026Pooled it
- The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Pooled it
- Timescale mismatch: redefining ecological opportunity for evolution in the Anthropocene.The EMBO journal · 2026Article
- Extreme weather effects on marine predator breeding outcomes in a global climate change hotspot.Science advances · 2026Article
- Evaluating the ability of a thermal biology-informed reproduction number to explain patterns of West Nile incidence in Europe.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- Using Landsat Satellite Imagery to Investigate Spatial and Temporal Variation in Life History Traits in a Long-Term Study Population of Superb Fairy-WrensEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Multiannual environmental forcing shapes breeding phenology and success in a sub-Antarctic seabird.Science advances · 2026Article
- Phenological Plasticity and Its Temperature-Related Drivers in Common Songbirds Across Europe.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Shrinking body size under climate warming is not associated with selection for smaller individuals in a migratory bird.The Journal of animal ecology · 2025Article
- Environmental conditions influence host-parasite interactions and host fitness in a migratory passerine.Integrative zoology · 2025Article
- Unraveling the unknown: Adaptive spatial planning to enhance climate resilience for the endangered Swamp Grass-babbler (Heliyon · 2024Article
- The foraging ecology of yellow-billed and red- billed choughs changed between two climatically different years.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Article
- Complex relationships between climate and reproduction in a resident montane bird.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- Winter mortality of a passerine bird increases following hotter summers and during winters with higher maximum temperatures.Science advances · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
SignificanceClimate change is impacting wild populations, but its relative importance compared to other causes of change is still unclear. Many studies assume that changes in traits primarily reflect effects of climate change, but this assumption is rarely tested. We show that in European birds global warming was likely the single most important contributor to temporal trends in laying date, body condition, and offspring number. However, nontemperature factors were also important and acted in the same direction, implying that attributing temporal trends solely to rising temperatures overestimates the impact of climate warming. Differences among species in the amount of trait change were predominantly determined by these nontemperature effects, suggesting that species differences are not due to variation in sensitivity to temperature.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.