Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35233120›Full record

ArticleThe quarterly journal of economics2022

VOLUNTARY REGULATION: EVIDENCE FROM MEDICARE PAYMENT REFORM.

Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Yunan Ji, Neale Mahoney

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The quarterly journal of economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03407885 (The Impact of Medicare Bundled Payments), which is not on this map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03407885 nacompletednot on this map

The Impact of Medicare Bundled Payments: Evidence From a Nationwide Randomized Evaluation for Lower Extremity Joint Replacement

TypeinterventionalSponsorAmy FinkelsteinRan2016 to 2022Enrolled196ConditionsArthroplasty, ReplacementArmsBundled payments for knee and hip replacement
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Ex ante evaluation of risk adjustment models for prospective provider payment: a conceptual framework and empirical application.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
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  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. VOLUNTARY REGULATION: EVIDENCE FROM MEDICARE PAYMENT REFORM.The quarterly journal of economics · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Randomized trial shows healthcare payment reform has equal-sized spillover effects on patients not targeted by reform.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Liran EinavSTANFORD UNIVERSITY AND NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, UNITED STATES.
Amy FinkelsteinSTANFORD UNIVERSITY AND NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, UNITED STATES.
Yunan JiSTANFORD UNIVERSITY AND NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, UNITED STATES.
Neale MahoneySTANFORD UNIVERSITY AND NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, UNITED STATES.

Funding

UNDERSTANDING AND IMPROVING EPISODE-BASED HOSPITAL CAREP01AG019783 · NIA · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI Leila S. Agha · 2001 to 2026
$52.9M
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG019783
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Government programs are often offered on an optional basis to market participants. We explore the economics of such voluntary regulation in the context of a Medicare payment reform, in which one medical provider receives a single, predetermined payment for a sequence of related healthcare services, instead of separate service-specific payments. This "bundled payment" program was originally implemented as a 5-year randomized trial, with mandatory participation by hospitals assigned to the new payment model; however, after two years, participation was made voluntary for half of these hospitals. Using detailed claim-level data, we document that voluntary participation is more likely for hospitals that can increase revenue without changing behavior ("selection on levels") and for hospitals that had large changes in behavior when participation was mandatory ("selection on slopes"). To assess outcomes under counterfactual regimes, we estimate a stylized model of responsiveness to and selection into the program. We find that the current voluntary regime generates inefficient transfers to hospitals, and that alternative (feasible) designs could reduce these inefficient transfers and raise welfare. Our analysis highlights key design elements to consider under voluntary regulation.

Indexed as

H51I13I18

Identifiers

PMID35233120
PMCPMC8884469

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.