Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35214743›Full record

ArticleVaccines2022

Modelling SARS-CoV-2 Binding Antibody Waning 8 Months after BNT162b2 Vaccination.

Angelos Hatzakis, Andreas Karabinis, Sotirios Roussos, Nikos Pantazis, Dimitrios Degiannis, Antigoni Chaidaroglou, Konstantinos Petsios, Ioanna Pavlopoulou, Sotirios Tsiodras, Dimitrios Paraskevis and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccines, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Angelos HatzakisDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 157 72 Athens, Greece.
Andreas KarabinisOnassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 176 74 Athens, Greece.
Sotirios RoussosDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 157 72 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0003-2347-0817
Nikos PantazisDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 157 72 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-4196-5066
Dimitrios DegiannisOnassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 176 74 Athens, Greece.
Antigoni ChaidaroglouOnassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 176 74 Athens, Greece.
Konstantinos PetsiosOnassis Cardiac Surgery Center, 176 74 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-7962-040X
Ioanna PavlopoulouPediatric Research Laboratory, Faculty of Nursing, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 157 72 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0003-0607-8266
Sotirios TsiodrasFourth Department of Internal Medicine, Attikon Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 157 72 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-0463-4321
Dimitrios ParaskevisDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 157 72 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0001-6167-7152
Vana SypsaDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 157 72 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-9430-7614
Mina PsichogiouFirst Department of Internal Medicine, Laiko General Hospital, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 157 72 Athens, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-3000-8447
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens · GROnassis Cardiac Surgery Center · GR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Several lines of evidence suggest that binding SARS-CoV-2 antibodies such as anti-SARS-CoV-2 RBD IgG (anti-RBD) and neutralising antibodies (NA) are correlates of protection against SARS-CoV-2, and the correlation of anti-RBD and NA is very high. The effectiveness (VE) of BNT162b2 in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection wanes over time, and this reduction is mainly associated with waning immunity, suggesting that the kinetics of antibodies reduction might be of interest to predict VE. In a study of 97 health care workers (HCWs) vaccinated with the BNT162b2 vaccine, we assessed the kinetics of anti-RBD 30-250 days after vaccination using 388 individually matched plasma samples. Anti-RBD levels declined by 85%, 92%, and 95% at the 4th, 6th, and 8th month from the peak, respectively. The kinetics were estimated using the trajectories of anti-RBD by various models. The restricted cubic splines model had a better fit to the observed data. The trajectories of anti-RBD declines were statistically significantly lower for risk factors of severe COVID-19 and the absence of vaccination side effects. Moreover, previous SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with divergent trajectories consistent with a slower anti-RBD decline over time. These results suggest that anti-RBD may serve as a harbinger for vaccine effectiveness (VE), and it should be explored as a predictor of breakthrough infections and VE.

Indexed as

anti-RBDBNT162b2 vaccineCOVID-19health care workersimmune responsekinetics

Identifiers

PMID35214743
PMCPMC8876471
OpenAlexW4213171737

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.