Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35209890›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2022

Reduced dengue incidence during the COVID-19 movement restrictions in Sri Lanka from March 2020 to April 2021.

S N Surendran, R Nagulan, K Sivabalakrishnan, S Arthiyan, A Tharsan, T T P Jayadas, S Raveendran, T Kumanan, R Ramasamy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

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  19. The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Arthropod-Related Diseases.Journal of arthropod-borne diseases · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

S N SurendranDepartment of Zoology, Faculty of Science, University of Jaffna, Jaffna, Sri Lanka. noble@univ.jfn.ac.lk.ORCID 0000-0002-7861-2037
R NagulanFaculty of Applied Science, University of Vavuniya, Vavuniya, Sri Lanka.
K SivabalakrishnanDepartment of Zoology, Faculty of Science, University of Jaffna, Jaffna, Sri Lanka.
S ArthiyanDepartment of Zoology, Faculty of Science, University of Jaffna, Jaffna, Sri Lanka.
A TharsanDepartment of Zoology, Faculty of Science, University of Jaffna, Jaffna, Sri Lanka.
T T P JayadasDepartment of Zoology, Faculty of Science, University of Jaffna, Jaffna, Sri Lanka.
S RaveendranDepartment of Geography, Faculty of Arts, University of Jaffna, Jaffna, Sri Lanka.
T KumananDepartment of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Jaffna, Jaffna, Sri Lanka.
R RamasamyDepartment of Zoology, Faculty of Science, University of Jaffna, Jaffna, Sri Lanka. rjr200911@yahoo.com.ORCID 0000-0003-0246-7053

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDengue is the major mosquito-borne disease in Sri Lanka. After its first detection in January 2020, COVID-19 has become the major health issue in Sri Lanka. The impact of public health measures, notably restrictions on movement of people to curb COVID-19 transmission, on the incidence of dengue during the period March 2020 to April 2021 was investigated.

methodsThe incidence of dengue and COVID-19, rainfall and the public movement restrictions implemented to contain COVID-19 transmission were obtained from Sri Lanka government sources. A Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was used to predict the monthly dengue incidence from March 2020 to April 2021 for each of the country's 25 districts based on five years of pre-pandemic data, and compared with the actual recorded incidence of dengue during this period. Ovitrap collections of Aedes larvae were performed in Jaffna city in the Jaffna district from August 2020 to April 2021 and the findings compared with similar collections made in the pre-pandemic period from March 2019 to December 2019.

resultsThe recorded numbers of dengue cases for every month from March 2020 to April 2021 in the whole country and for all 25 districts over the same period were lower than the numbers of dengue cases predicted from data for the five years (2015-2019) immediately preceding the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of dengue cases recorded nationwide represented a 74% reduction from the predicted number of dengue cases for the March 2020 to April 2021 period. The numbers of Aedes larvae collected from ovitraps per month were reduced by 88.6% with a lower proportion of Ae. aegypti than Ae. albopictus in Jaffna city from August 2020 until April 2021 compared with March 2019 to December 2019.

conclusionPublic health measures that restricted movement of people, closed schools, universities and offices to contain COVID-19 transmission unexpectedly led to a significant reduction in the reported numbers of dengue cases in Sri Lanka. This contrasts with findings reported from Singapore. The differences between the two tropical islands have significant implications for the epidemiology of dengue. Reduced access to blood meals and lower vector densities, particularly of Ae. aegypti, resulting from the restrictions on movement of people, are suggested to have contributed to the lower dengue incidence in Sri Lanka.

Indexed as

AedesCOVID-19DengueAnimalsHumansIncidenceMosquito VectorsPandemicsSARS-CoV-2Sri LankaAedes aegyptiAedes albopictusCOVID-19 containment measures and dengue incidenceDengue transmissionDengue vectorsJaffna districtSri Lanka

Identifiers

PMID35209890
PMCPMC8866919

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.