Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35197202›Full record

ArticleAtherosclerosis2022

Coronary artery calcium scores indicating secondary prevention level risk: Findings from the CAC consortium and FOURIER trial.

Omar Dzaye, Alexander C Razavi, Erin D Michos, Martin Bødtker Mortensen, Zeina A Dardari, Khurram Nasir, Albert D Osei, Allison W Peng, Ron Blankstein, John H Page and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Atherosclerosis, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Reducing LDL-Cholesterol to Very Low Levels: Sailing Between Established Benefits and Potential Risks.High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Omar DzayeJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA; Russell H. Morgan Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Alexander C RazaviJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA; Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Erin D MichosJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Martin Bødtker MortensenJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA; Department of Cardiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Zeina A DardariJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Khurram NasirDivision of Cardiovascular Prevention and Wellness, Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart & Vascular Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Albert D OseiJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Allison W PengJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Ron BlanksteinCardiovascular Imaging Program, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
John H PageCenter for Observational Research, Amgen Inc., Thousand Oaks, CA, USA.
Michael J BlahaJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. Electronic address: mblaha1@jhmi.edu.
Johns Hopkins University · USAmgen (United States) · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USHouston Methodist · US

Funding

PATHOPHYSIOLOGY OF MYOCARDIAL DISEASEST32HL007227 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Chulan Kwon, WENDY S POST · 1985 to 2026
$21.2M
NHLBI NIH HHS L30 HL110027NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007227
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsCoronary artery calcium (CAC) burden displays a stepwise association with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. Among primary prevention patients, we sought to determine the CAC scores equivalent to ASCVD mortality rates observed in the FOURIER trial, a modern secondary prevention cohort. METHODS AND

resultsFor the main analysis, we included participants from the CAC Consortium ≥50 years old with a 10-year ASCVD risk ≥7.5% (n = 20,207). Poisson regression was used to define the relationship between CAC and annual ASCVD mortality. Equations generated from the regression models were then used to derive CAC scores associated with equivalent annual ASCVD mortality as observed in FOURIER placebo participants from the overall trial and in key trial subgroups. The CAC Consortium participants had a similar age (65.5 versus 62.5 years) and sex (22% versus 24% female) distribution as FOURIER. The annualized ASCVD mortality rate in FOURIER participants (0.766 per 100 person-years) corresponded to a CAC score of 781 (418-1467). A CAC score of 255 (162-394) corresponded to an ASCVD mortality rate equivalent to the lowest risk FOURIER subgroup (presence of myocardial infarction >2 years prior to trial enrollment). No CAC score produced a risk equivalent to high-risk FOURIER subgroups, particularly those with symptomatic peripheral arterial disease and/or multivessel coronary heart disease.

conclusionsPrimary prevention individuals with increased CAC burden may have annualized ASCVD mortality rates equivalent to persons with stable secondary prevention-level risk. These findings argue for a risk continuum between higher risk primary prevention and stable secondary prevention patients, as their ASCVD risks may overlap.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisCoronary Artery DiseaseVascular CalcificationCalciumCalcium, DietaryFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSecondary PreventionCalciumCalcium, DietaryCoronary artery calciumCoronary artery diseaseRisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID35197202
PMCPMC9030020
OpenAlexW4211155906

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.