Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35196469›Full record

ArticlePopulation studies2022

Growing up and moving out: Migration and the demographic transition in low- and middle-income nations.

Thomas J Bollyky, Nick Graetz, Joseph Dieleman, Molly K Miller-Petrie, Diana Schoder, Sean Joyce, Michel Guillot, Simon I Hay

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Population studies, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Thomas J BollykyCouncil on Foreign Relations.
Nick GraetzUniversity of Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0002-4362-2059
Joseph DielemanUniversity of Washington.
Molly K Miller-PetrieUniversity of Washington.
Diana SchoderCouncil on Foreign Relations.
Sean JoyceUniversity of California.ORCID 0000-0002-1820-4381
Michel GuillotUniversity of Pennsylvania.
Simon I HayUniversity of Washington.

Funding

GRADUATE TRAINING IN DEMOGRAPHYT32HD007242 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI MICHEL GUILLOT · 1985 to 2026
$6.6M
NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007242
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

International migration has increased since 1990, with increasing numbers of migrants originating from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Efforts to explain this compositional shift have focused on wage gaps and other push and pull factors but have not adequately considered the role of demographic factors. In many LMICs, child mortality has fallen without commensurate economic growth and amid high fertility. This combination increases young adult populations and is associated with greater outmigration: in the poorest countries, we estimate that a one-percentage-point increase in the five-year lagged growth rate of the population of 15-24-year-olds was associated with a 15 per cent increase in all-age outmigrants, controlling for other factors. Increases in growth of young adult populations led to 20.4 million additional outmigrants across 80 countries between 1990 and 2015. Understanding the determinants of these migration shifts should help policymakers in origin and destination countries to maximize their potential positive effects.

Indexed as

Emigration and ImmigrationIncomeChildDemographyDeveloping CountriesHumansPopulation DynamicsSocioeconomic FactorsYoung Adultchild mortalitydemographic transitiondevelopmentgravity modelmigrationmobility transitionpopulation growthyouth unemployment

Identifiers

PMID35196469
PMCPMC9405450

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.