Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35194876›Full record

ArticleHealth economics2022

Eliciting risk preferences that predict risky health behavior: A comparison of two approaches.

Murong Yang, Laurence S J Roope, James Buchanan, Arthur E Attema, Philip M Clarke, A Sarah Walker, Sarah Wordsworth

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Evolutionarily Optimal Risk Aversion.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026
    Article
  4. Time preferences and COVID-19 vaccination uptake.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Murong YangNuffield Department of Population Health, Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1214-3426
Laurence S J RoopeNuffield Department of Population Health, Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9098-9331
James BuchananNuffield Department of Population Health, Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Arthur E AttemaErasmus School of Health Policy & Management, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-3607-6579
Philip M ClarkeNuffield Department of Population Health, Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7555-5348
A Sarah WalkerNIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, John Radcliffe Hospital, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Sarah WordsworthNuffield Department of Population Health, Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
University of Liverpool · GBUniversity of Oxford · GBErasmus University Rotterdam · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Information on attitudes to risk could increase understanding of and explain risky health behaviors. We investigate two approaches to eliciting risk preferences in the health domain, a novel "indirect" lottery elicitation approach with health states as outcomes and a "direct" approach where respondents are asked directly about their willingness to take risks. We compare the ability of the two approaches to predict health-related risky behaviors in a general adult population. We also investigate a potential framing effect in the indirect lottery elicitation approach. We find that risk preferences elicited using the direct approach can better predict health-related risky behavior than those elicited using the indirect approach. Moreover, a seemingly innocuous change to the framing of the lottery question results in significantly different risk preference estimates, and conflicting conclusions about the ability of the indicators to predict risky health behaviors.

Indexed as

Health BehaviorHealth Risk BehaviorsAdultHumansframing effectslottery elicitation approachrisk preferencerisky health behavior

Identifiers

PMID35194876
PMCPMC9305924
OpenAlexW4213458615

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.