Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35193947›Full record

ArticleLupus science & medicine2022

Assessing the validity of QRISK3 in predicting cardiovascular events in systemic lupus erythematosus.

Lisa Zhu, Manpreet Singh, Sonia Lele, Lori Sahakian, Jennifer Grossman, Bevra Hahn, Maureen McMahon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lupus science & medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Vascular damage in systemic lupus erythematosus.Nature reviews. Nephrology · 2024
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Lisa ZhuMedicine - Rheumatology, University of California Los Angeles David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9858-7265
Manpreet SinghMedicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Sonia LeleMedicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Lori SahakianMedicine - Rheumatology, University of California Los Angeles David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Jennifer GrossmanMedicine - Rheumatology, University of California Los Angeles David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Bevra HahnMedicine - Rheumatology, University of California Los Angeles David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Maureen McMahonMedicine - Rheumatology, University of California Los Angeles David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California, USA mmcmahon@mednet.ucla.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2910-7640

Funding

The PREDICTS risk score for increased atherosclerosis and disease activity in SLER01AR063754 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI MCMAHON, MAUREEN A · 2014 to 2018
$2.8M
NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR063754
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTraditional cardiovascular risk calculators such as the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) have been shown to underestimate risk in patients with SLE. The QRISK3 calculator is unique in including SLE and corticosteroid use as risk factors. This study aims to assess the validity of QRISK3 compared with other cardiovascular risk models in a cohort of patients with SLE in the USA.

methodsWe studied a prospective cohort of 366 adult patients with SLE without history of any cardiovascular event and followed them for 10 years. We compared the diagnostic performance of QRISK3 with FRS, modified FRS, Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD), and Predictors of Risk for Elevated Flares, Damage Progression and Increased Cardiovascular Disease in Patients with SLE (PREDICTS).

resultsSixty-four of the 366 patients (17.4%) experienced at least one cardiovascular event during the 10-year follow-up period. Of these patients 45% had a QRISK3 score >10%, whereas 20.5% of patients who did not have an event had a QRISK3 score >10% (p<0.001). The corresponding numbers for FRS, modified FRS, ASCVD and PREDICTS were 11.0% vs 7.2% (p=ns), 40.6% vs 28.0% (p=0.05), 12.2% vs 5.9% (p=ns), and 77% vs 32.1% (p<0.001), respectively. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve using QRISK3 >10% and high-risk PREDICTS were both larger than those using ASCVD >10%, FRS >10% and modified FRS >10%.

conclusionsBoth QRISK3 and PREDICTS demonstrated better performance in predicting risk of cardiovascular disease in this cohort of patients with SLE compared with FRS, modified FRS and ASCVD.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesLupus Erythematosus, SystemicAdultHumansProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factorscardiovascular diseasesepidemiologylupus erythematosussystemic

Identifiers

PMID35193947
PMCPMC8867320

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.