Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35192739›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2022

Predictors of mortality among adolescents and young adults living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania: a retrospective cohort study.

Maryam A Amour, Grace A Shayo, Mecky M Matee, Lameck Machumi, Angelica Rugarabamu, Eric A Aris, Bruno F Sunguya, Ferdinand M Mugusi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Maryam A AmourDepartment of Community Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Grace A ShayoDepartment of Internal Medicine, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Mecky M MateeDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Lameck MachumiManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Angelica RugarabamuManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Eric A ArisManagement and Development for Health, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Bruno F SunguyaDepartment of Community Health, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Ferdinand M MugusiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences · TZManagement and Development for Health · TZ

Funding

Training Tanzanian Researchers for HIV/AIDS Implementation ScienceD43TW009775 · FIC · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Wafaie W Fawzi, Christopher Sudfeld · 2015 to 2026
$3.0M
Tuberculosis Research Institute at MUHASD43TW009573 · FIC · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI ADAMS, LISA VIRGINIA · 2013 to 2022
$3.0M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009573FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009775
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionGlobal AIDS-related deaths have declined by only 10% among adolescents since its peak in 2003. This is disproportionately low compared to a decline of 74% among children aged 0-9 years old. We determined the magnitude of, and predictors of mortality among adolescents and young adults living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Dar-es-Salaam, Tanzania.

methodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted among adolescents (aged 10-19) and young adults (aged 20-24) living with HIV and enrolled in care and treatment centres in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania between January 2015 and December 2019. Data were analysed using STATA version 16. Cumulative hazard curves were used to estimate and illustrate 1-year mortality. Predictors for mortality were assessed by the Fine and Gray competing risk regression model. Sub-hazard ratios (SHR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were then reported.

resultsA total of 15,874 young people living with HIV were included: 4916 (31.3%) were adolescents and 10,913 (68.7%) were young adults. A total of 3843 (77.5%) adolescents and 9517 (87.2%) young adults were female. Deaths occurred in 2.3% (114/4961) of adolescents and 1.2% (135/10,913) of young adults (p < 0.001). Over a follow-up of 9292 person-years, the mortality rate was 3.8 per 100 person years [95% CI 3.2-4.6/100 person-years] among adolescents and 2.1 per 100 person-years among young adults [95% CI 1.8-2.5/100 person-years]. Independent predictors of mortality among adolescents were male sex (adjusted (SHR) aSHR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.3-2.8), CD4 count < 200 cells/mm

conclusionsThe mortality rate for persons living with HIV and on ART in Tanzania was significantly higher in adolescents than young adults. Age- and sex-specific risk factors identify targets for intervention to reduce mortality among affected adolescents and young adults.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsAdolescentCD4 Lymphocyte CountChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleNevirapineRetrospective StudiesTanzaniaYoung AdultNevirapineacquired immunodeficiency syndromeadolescentHIVmortalityTanzaniayoung adult

Identifiers

PMID35192739
PMCPMC8863353
OpenAlexW4213373218

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.