Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35191613›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2022

Prediction of lung metastases in thyroid cancer using machine learning based on SEER database.

Wenfei Liu, Shoufei Wang, Ziheng Ye, Peipei Xu, Xiaotian Xia, Minggao Guo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.2field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 64 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Machine learning for endoscopic third ventriculostomy success prediction-a systematic review and meta-analysis.Child's nervous system : ChNS : official journal of the International Society for Pediatric Neurosurgery · 2025
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Wenfei LiuDepartment of Thyroid, Parathyroid, Breast and Hernia Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Shoufei WangDepartment of Thyroid, Parathyroid, Breast and Hernia Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Ziheng YeDepartment of Thyroid, Parathyroid, Breast and Hernia Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Peipei XuDepartment of Thyroid, Parathyroid, Breast and Hernia Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Xiaotian XiaDepartment of Thyroid, Parathyroid, Breast and Hernia Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai, China.
Minggao GuoDepartment of Thyroid, Parathyroid, Breast and Hernia Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5944-0404
Shanghai Jiao Tong University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeLung metastasis (LM) is one of the most frequent distant metastases of thyroid cancer (TC). This study aimed to develop a machine learning algorithm model to predict lung metastasis of thyroid cancer for providing relative information in clinical decision-making.

methodsData comprising of demographic and clinicopathological characteristics of patients with thyroid cancer were extracted from the National Institutes of Health (NIH)'s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2015, which is employed to develop six machine learning algorithm models support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN). Compared and evaluated models by the following indicators: accuracy, precision, recall rate, F1-score, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) value and Brier score, and interpreted the association between clinicopathological characteristics and target variables based on the best model.

resultsNine thousand nine hundred and fifty patients were selected, which including 212 patients (2.1%) with lung metastasis, and 9738 patients without lung metastasis (97.9%). Multivariate logistic regression showed that age, T stage, N stage, and histological type were independent factors in TC with LM. Evaluation indicators of the best model- RF were as following: accuracy (0.99), recall rate (0.88), precision (0.61), F1-score (0.72), AUC value (0.99), and the Brier score (0.016).

conclusionRF learning model performed better and can be applied to forecast lung metastasis of thyroid cancer, and offer valuable and significant reference for clinicians' decision-making in advance.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsThyroid NeoplasmsArea Under CurveHumansLogistic ModelsMachine Learninglung metastasismachine learningpartial dependency plotpredictionthyroid cancer

Identifiers

PMID35191613
PMCPMC9189456
OpenAlexW4212962929

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.