Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35191480›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences2022

Age-Specific Mortality During the 2020 COVID-19 Pandemic and Life Expectancy Changes in the United States and Peer Countries, 1980-2020.

Ryan K Masters, Steven H Woolf, Laudan Y Aron

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Impact of Personal Experience of COVID-19 Disease on Recreational Anglers' Attitudes and Behaviors.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  8. Significant impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on race/ethnic differences in US mortality.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  9. An Introduction to the Supplemental Issue on Why Does Health in the US Continue to Lag Behind.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2022
    Article
  10. Older Adults in the United States Have Worse Cardiometabolic Health Compared to England.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ryan K MastersDepartment of Sociology, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6285-4445
Steven H WoolfCenter on Society and Health, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA.
Laudan Y AronHealth Policy Center, Urban Institute, District of Columbia, USA.

Funding

Statistical Data EnclaveP30AG012846 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI VICKI A. FREEDMAN · 1999 to 2026
$23.2M
Research Supplement to Promote Diversity in Health Related ResearchUL1TR002649 · NCATS · VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY · PI MOELLER, FREDERICK GERARD · 2018 to 2022
$19.1M
University of Colorado Population CenterP2CHD066613 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI JANE A MENKEN · 2015 to 2026
$3.7M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002649NIA NIH HHS P30 AG012846NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD066613
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesSince the 1980s, life expectancy at birth (e0) in the United States has fallen steadily behind that of other high-income countries, widening the U.S. e0 disadvantage. We estimate how that disadvantage was affected by high mortality rates in 2020, the first full year of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.

methodsWe contrast male and female e0 in the United States and 18 peer countries for years 1980, 1995, 2010, 2019, and 2020. Using Arriaga decomposition, we show how differences in age-specific death rates have contributed to U.S. e0 disadvantages.

resultsIn 2020, U.S. male and female e0 changed by -2.33 (-2.50, -2.15) and -1.69 (-1.85, -1.53) years, respectively, whereas corresponding changes in peer countries averaged -0.67 (-0.82, -0.51) and -0.50 (-0.65, -0.35) years, respectively. This accelerated a longstanding and widening U.S. e0 disadvantage relative to its peers, which increased from 3.49 to 5.15 years in males and from 2.78 to 3.97 years in females between 2019 and 2020. Whereas deaths before age 65 accounted for 55% and 40% of declines in U.S. male and female life expectancy, respectively, they accounted for only 24% and 11% of the respective declines in peer countries. DISCUSSION: U.S. life expectancy declines in 2020 were larger than in peer countries and involved deaths across a broader age range, particularly among young and middle-aged adults. Both the longstanding U.S. e0 disadvantage and acute losses of life in 2020 signal the need for systemic policy changes in the United States.

Indexed as

COVID-19AgedAge FactorsFemaleHumansLife ExpectancyMaleMiddle AgedMortalityPandemicsPeer GroupUnited StatesComparative demographyEpidemiologyHealth disparitiesLife expectancyMeasurement

Identifiers

PMID35191480
PMCPMC9154231

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.