ArticleEpidemics2022
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics.
Article in Epidemics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Masks and respirators for prevention of respiratory infections: a state of the science review.Clinical microbiology reviews · 2024Pooled it
- On real-time calibrated prediction for complex model-based decision support in pandemics: Part 2.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- From Trait-Structured Within-Host Dynamics to SIR Models: A Multiscale Framework With Re-Exposure.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2026Article
- Rapid Epidemiological Data Collection on Social Media for COVID-19: Comparative Study Between Online Surveys and Conventional Cohorts.Journal of medical Internet research · 2026Observational
- Modelling the Effects of Treatment Failure on the Minor Outbreak Duration for Carrier-Related Infectious Disease.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Article
- Bayesian uncertainty quantification to identify population level vaccine hesitancy behaviours.PloS one · 2026Article
- Enhancing epidemic forecast usability for policymakers: A global mixed-methods study.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Natural history parameters for enteric pathogens to inform modeling studies of diarrhea among children in low-resource settings: results from the MAL-ED longitudinal birth cohort.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Mathematical modelling for vaccine efficacy trials during the future epidemics of emerging respiratory infections.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2025Article
- Protocol: a systematic review+ (SR+) to combine associative and mechanistic evidence on the efficacy of face masks in reducing transmission of respiratory diseases.Systematic reviews · 2025Article
- iPAR: A framework for modelling and inferring information about disease spread when the populations at risk are unknown.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Assessing the Impact of Haulage Drivers in Uganda's COVID-19 Delta Wave.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2025Article
- How does policy modelling work in practice? A global analysis on the use of epidemiological modelling in health crises.PLOS global public health · 2025Article
- Mathematical modelling and analysis for the co-infection of viral and bacterial diseases: a systematic review protocol.BMJ open · 2024Article
- A unified framework for diagnostic test development and evaluation during outbreaks of emerging infections.Communications medicine · 2024Review
- The Impact of Public Health and Social Measures (PHSMs) on SARS-CoV-2 Transmission in the WHO European Region (2020-2022).Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2024Article
- Policy impact of the Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team: global perspective and United Kingdom case study.Health research policy and systems · 2024Article
- The role of economic evaluation in modelling public health and social measures for pandemic policy: a systematic review.Cost effectiveness and resource allocation : C/E · 2024Article
- Foresight approaches for future health shocks: integration into policy making and accompanying research priorities.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
14 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Mathematical modelling and statistical inference provide a framework to evaluate different non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions for the control of epidemics that has been widely used during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, lessons learned from this and previous epidemics are used to highlight the challenges for future pandemic control. We consider the availability and use of data, as well as the need for correct parameterisation and calibration for different model frameworks. We discuss challenges that arise in describing and distinguishing between different interventions, within different modelling structures, and allowing both within and between host dynamics. We also highlight challenges in modelling the health economic and political aspects of interventions. Given the diversity of these challenges, a broad variety of interdisciplinary expertise is needed to address them, combining mathematical knowledge with biological and social insights, and including health economics and communication skills. Addressing these challenges for the future requires strong cross-disciplinary collaboration together with close communication between scientists and policy makers.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.