Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35171992›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences2022

Age Profiles of Cognitive Decline and Dementia in Late Life in the Aging, Demographics, and Memory Study.

Christine E Walsh, Yang C Yang, Katsuya Oi, Allison Aiello, Daniel Belsky, Kathleen Mullan Harris, Brenda L Plassman

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Cognitive trajectories in older adults and associated mortality and predictors.Social psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Christine E WalshDepartment of Health, Behavior, Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6190-9491
Yang C YangDepartment of Sociology, Lineberger Cancer Center, and Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Katsuya OiDepartment of Sociology, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, Arizona, USA.
Allison AielloDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Daniel BelskyDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York City, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5463-2212
Kathleen Mullan HarrisDepartment of Sociology, Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Brenda L PlassmanDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Science, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USColumbia University · USDuke University · USNorthern Arizona University · US

Funding

POPULATION STUDIEST32HD007168 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ELIZABETH A FRANKENBERG · 1985 to 2026
$13.8M
Carolina Population CenterR24HD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI MORGAN, SAMUEL PHILIP · 2005 to 2014
$10.0M
From Biological to Social Processes: Interdisciplinary Training in Life Course ResearchT32HD091058 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT A HUMMER, Amanda L Thompson · 2017 to 2026
$4.3M
Life Course Process of Alzheimer's Disease: Sex Difference and Biosocial MechanismsR01AG057800 · NIA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI YANG, YANG CLAIRE · 2017 to 2021
$3.6M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG057800NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD050924NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007168NIH HHS R01 AG057800
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo better understand the temporal dynamics of progression from cognitive decline to onset of dementia in the dementia-free older population in the United States.

methodsWe used longitudinal data from a diverse national population-based sample of older adults (N = 531) in the Aging, Demographics, and Memory Study from the Health and Retirement Study with repeated measures of cognitive function and dementia diagnosis during 12 years of follow-up from 1996 to 2009. We employed joint latent class mixed models to estimate the association between cognitive change and competing risks of dementia and nondementia death and identify heterogeneity in the age profiles of such association adjusting for baseline characteristics.

resultsOur analyses found 3 latent classes with distinct age profiles of cognitive decline and associated risk of dementia and mortality: "Rapid Cognitive Decline" (19.6%), "Moderate Progression" (44.6%), and "Optimal Cognitive Aging" (35.8%). When simultaneously accounting for cognitive trajectories and time-to-dementia/death, we also found associations of baseline covariates with slope of cognitive decline (e.g., steeper decline among non-Hispanic Blacks and more educated) and risk of dementia (e.g., greater risk for females and apolipoprotein E-4 carriers, but no difference by education level) that differ substantially from those in separate longitudinal mixed models or survival models. DISCUSSION: The differential age patterns of cognitive decline predicting dementia incidences identified in this study suggest variation in the course of cognitive aging in older adults that may inform future etiological and intervention studies.

Indexed as

Apolipoprotein E4Cognitive DysfunctionAgedAgingCognitionFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesPopulation DynamicsUnited StatesApolipoprotein E4CognitionJoint modelsLatent classLongitudinal trajectoriesMortality

Identifiers

PMID35171992
PMCPMC9535777
OpenAlexW4212888511

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.