Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35165202›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022

Environmental outcomes of the US Renewable Fuel Standard.

Tyler J Lark, Nathan P Hendricks, Aaron Smith, Nicholas Pates, Seth A Spawn-Lee, Matthew Bougie, Eric G Booth, Christopher J Kucharik, Holly K Gibbs

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Scaled CO Electroreduction to Alcohols.Nature communications · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Ecologically informed solar enables a sustainable energy transition in US croplands.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Catalysts for electrochemical CONpj materials sustainability · 2025
    Review
  14. New York State Climate Impacts Assessment Chapter 03: Agriculture.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Nitrogen management during decarbonization.Nature reviews. Earth & environment · 2024
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. US climate policy yields water quality cobenefits in the Mississippi Basin and Gulf of Mexico.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Tyler J LarkNelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53726; lark@wisc.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-4583-6878
Nathan P HendricksDepartment of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS 66506.ORCID 0000-0001-7301-8314
Aaron SmithDepartment of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Davis, CA 95616.ORCID 0000-0001-5768-6304
Nicholas PatesDepartment of Agricultural Economics, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40546.ORCID 0000-0002-8071-0509
Seth A Spawn-LeeNelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53726.ORCID 0000-0001-8821-5345
Matthew BougieNelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53726.
Eric G BoothDepartment of Agronomy, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706.ORCID 0000-0003-2191-6627
Christopher J KucharikNelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53726.ORCID 0000-0002-0400-758X
Holly K GibbsNelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53726.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) specifies the use of biofuels in the United States and thereby guides nearly half of all global biofuel production, yet outcomes of this keystone climate and environmental regulation remain unclear. Here we combine econometric analyses, land use observations, and biophysical models to estimate the realized effects of the RFS in aggregate and down to the scale of individual agricultural fields across the United States. We find that the RFS increased corn prices by 30% and the prices of other crops by 20%, which, in turn, expanded US corn cultivation by 2.8 Mha (8.7%) and total cropland by 2.1 Mha (2.4%) in the years following policy enactment (2008 to 2016). These changes increased annual nationwide fertilizer use by 3 to 8%, increased water quality degradants by 3 to 5%, and caused enough domestic land use change emissions such that the carbon intensity of corn ethanol produced under the RFS is no less than gasoline and likely at least 24% higher. These tradeoffs must be weighed alongside the benefits of biofuels as decision-makers consider the future of renewable energy policies and the potential for fuels like corn ethanol to meet climate mitigation goals.

Indexed as

biofuelsenvironmental policygreenhouse gas emissionsland use changewater quality

Identifiers

PMID35165202
PMCPMC8892349

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.