ArticleJournal of medical virology2022
Novel statistics predict the COVID-19 pandemic could terminate in 2022.
Article in Journal of medical virology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 59 citations in OpenAlex.
- Pooled it
- Article
- Psychological Well-Being in Adults Across the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Two-Year Longitudinal Study.International journal of public health · 2025Article
- The association between enteral nutrition with survival of critical patients with COVID-19.Immunity, inflammation and disease · 2024Article
- Equilibrium points and their stability of COVID-19 in US.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Article
- A reverse pattern in work motivation among Vietnamese health care workers during the prolonged COVID-19 outbreak of 2021: Determinants and implications.Journal of global health · 2023Article
- Mycolactone: A Broad Spectrum Multitarget Antiviral Active in the Picomolar Range for COVID-19 Prevention and Cure.International journal of molecular sciences · 2023Article
- On the Implementation of the Artificial Neural Network Approach for Forecasting Different Healthcare Events.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- COVID-19 Prediction Using Black-Box Based Pearson Correlation Approach.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Can circulating oxidative stress-related biomarkers be used as an early prognostic marker for COVID-19?Frontiers in medicine · 2023Article
- Renewal of the Major Fields of New-Generation Computing.New generation computing · 2023Article
- The role of epicardial adipose tissue dysfunction in cardiovascular diseases: an overview of pathophysiology, evaluation, and management.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2023Review
- COVID-19 vaccine acceptance among pregnant women: a hospital-based cross-sectional study in Sudan.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Beyond COVID-19: Do biothermodynamic properties allow predicting the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants?Microbial risk analysis · 2022Article
- COInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Cholestatic liver injury: A rare but fatal complication during and after COVID-19 infection.World journal of virology · 2022Review
- Factors That Affect the COVID-19 Pandemic in Summer 2022 Compared to Summer 2021.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- The Role of Obesity, Body Composition, and Nutrition in COVID-19 Pandemia: A Narrative Review.Nutrients · 2022Review
- Novel statistics predict the COVID-19 pandemic could terminate in 2022.Journal of medical virology · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Many people want to know when the COVID-19 pandemic will end and life will return to normal. This question is highly elusive and distinct predictions have been proposed. In this study, the global mortality and case fatality rate of COVID-19 were analyzed using nonlinear regression. The analysis showed that the COVID-19 pandemic could terminate in 2022, but COVID-19 could be one or two times more deadly than seasonal influenza by 2023. The prediction considered the possibility of the emergence of new variants of SARS-CoV-2 and was supported by the features of the Omicron variant and other facts. As the herd immunity against COVID-19 established through natural infections and mass vaccination is distinct among countries, COVID-19 could be more or less deadly in some countries in the coming years than the prediction. Although the future of COVID-19 will have multiple possibilities, this statistics-based prediction could aid to make proper decisions and establish an example on the prediction of infectious diseases.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.