Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35142025›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2022

Projecting the long-term societal value of a disease-modifying treatment for Alzheimer's disease in the United States.

Maria J Prados, Ying Liu, Hankyung Jun, Jenny Lam, Soeren Mattke

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Genetic risk in Alzheimer's disease.NPJ systems biology and applications · 2026
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. U.S. dementia care spending by state: 2010-2019.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2024
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Societal Costs of Dementia: 204 Countries, 2000-2019.Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD · 2024
    Article
  17. Using Alzheimer's disease blood tests to accelerate clinical trial enrollment.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Maria J PradosUniversity of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Ying LiuUniversity of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Hankyung JunUniversity of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Jenny LamUniversity of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Soeren MattkeUniversity of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionWe estimate societal value of a disease-modifying Alzheimer's disease (AD) treatment that reduces progression by 30% in early stages.

methodsUsing the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research value flower as framework, we estimate gross societal value, that is, not including treatment cost, from avoided medical and social care costs, productivity and quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) gains for patients and caregivers, adjusting for severity of disease, value of financial insurance, and value of insurance for currently unafflicted adults with a Markov model.

resultsPredicted societal value from 2021 until 2041 is $2.62 trillion for the overall afflicted US population and $986 billion for the 2021 prevalent cohort or $134,418 per person, with valuation of patients' QALY gains (63%) and avoided nursing-home costs (20%) as largest components. Delays in access because of health system capacity constraints could reduce realized value between 52% and 69%. The value of insurance for the unafflicted is $4.52 trillion or $18,399 on average per person. DISCUSSION: With a total of $5.5 trillion, the projected gross societal value of a hypothetical AD treatment is substantial, which may help to put the cost of treatment into perspective.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAlzheimer DiseaseCohort StudiesEarly Medical InterventionFemaleHealth Services AccessibilityHumansInsurance, HealthMaleModels, StatisticalNursing HomesUnited StatesAlzheimer's diseasebudget impactdisease-modifying treatmentnursing homesocietal value

Identifiers

PMID35142025
PMCPMC9303743

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.