Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35134845›Full record

ArticleAge and ageing2022

Risk of progression to diabetes and mortality in older people with prediabetes: The English longitudinal study on ageing.

Nicola Veronese, Marianna Noale, Alan Sinclair, Mario Barbagallo, Ligia J Dominguez, Lee Smith, Damiano Pizzol, Stefania Maggi

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Age and ageing, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  13. Top POEMs of 2022 for choosing wisely in practice.Canadian family physician Medecin de famille canadien · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Nicola VeroneseGeriatric Unit, Department of Internal Medicine and Geriatrics, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Marianna NoaleAging Branch, Neuroscience Institute, National Research Council, Padua, Italy.
Alan SinclairFoundation for Diabetes Research in Older People (fDROP) and King's College London, London, UK.
Mario BarbagalloGeriatric Unit, Department of Internal Medicine and Geriatrics, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Ligia J DominguezGeriatric Unit, Department of Internal Medicine and Geriatrics, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Lee SmithThe Cambridge Centre for Sport and Exercise Sciences, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK.
Damiano PizzolItalian Agency for Development Cooperation, Khartoum, Sudan.
Stefania MaggiAging Branch, Neuroscience Institute, National Research Council, Padua, Italy.
National Research Council · ITUniversity of Palermo · ITAnglia Ruskin University · GBKing's College London · GBUniversità degli Studi di Enna Kore · IT

Funding

Socioeconomic gradient in CHD in early old ageR01HL036310 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON · PI KIVIMAKI, MIKA J, MARMOT, MICHAEL G · 1986 to 2012
$3.1M
British Heart FoundationCancer Research UK ESRC RES-590-28-0005Department of HealthMedical Research Council K013351Medical Research Council MR/KO232331/1NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL036310Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust WT087640MA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsPrediabetes is used to identify people at increased risk for diabetes. However, the importance of prediabetes in older populations is still poorly explored. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the prevalence of prediabetes, based on either glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels or fasting glucose (FG) levels, or both and the progression of prediabetes to diabetes or to mortality in older participants of the English Longitudinal Study on Ageing. MATERIALS AND

methodsPrediabetes was categorized based on HbA1c levels (5.7%-6.4%) and/or FG levels (5.6-7.0 mmol/L). Information regarding mortality and incident diabetes were recorded during follow-up period of 10 years.

resultsIn 2027 participants (mean age: 70.6 years, 55.2% females), the prevalence of prediabetes ranged between 5.9% and 31.1%. Over 8 years of follow-up, 189 participants (5.4% of the initial population) developed diabetes and 606 (17.4%) died. Among 1,403 people with HbA1c at the baseline <5.7%, 33 developed diabetes and 138 died; in contrast, among 479 participants with a diagnosis of prediabetes using a value of HbA1c between 5.7% and 6.4%, 62 developed diabetes and 56 died. Similarly, among 1,657 people with normal values of FG at baseline 60 had a diagnosis of diabetes during follow-up and 163 died, compared to 225 with FG between 5.6 mmol/L and 7.0 mmol/L in which 35 developed diabetes and 31 died.

conclusionThe prevalence of prediabetes in older adults is high, but the progression from prediabetes to diabetes is uncommon, whereas the regression to normoglycemia or the progression to death was more frequent.

Indexed as

Prediabetic StateAgedAgingBlood GlucoseFemaleGlycated HemoglobinHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleRisk FactorsBlood GlucoseGlycated HemoglobindiabetesEnglish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (ELSA)older peopleprediabetes

Identifiers

PMID35134845
PMCPMC8824760
OpenAlexW3200334312

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.