Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35134059›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

Re-analyzing the SARS-CoV-2 series using an extended integer-valued time series models: A situational assessment of the COVID-19 in Mauritius.

Ashwinee Devi Soobhug, Homeswaree Jowaheer, Naushad Mamode Khan, Neeshti Reetoo, Kursheed Meethoo-Badulla, Laurent Musango, Célestin C Kokonendji, Azmi Chutoo, Nawel Aries

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Ashwinee Devi SoobhugStatistics Mauritius, Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning and Development, Port Louis, Mauritius.ORCID 0000-0002-3960-8924
Homeswaree JowaheerStatistics Mauritius, Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning and Development, Port Louis, Mauritius.
Naushad Mamode KhanDepartment of Economics and Statistics, University of Mauritius, Moka, Mauritius.
Neeshti ReetooDepartment of Health And Wellness, Ministry of Education, Tertiary Education, Science and Technology, Vacoas-Phoenix, Mauritius.
Kursheed Meethoo-BadullaCommunicable Disease Control Unit, Ministry of Health and Wellness, Port Louis, Mauritius.
Laurent MusangoWorld Health Organization Country Representative in Mauritius, Port Louis, Mauritius.
Célestin C KokonendjiLaboratoire de Mathématiques de Besançon, UMR 6623 CNRS-UBFC, Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Besançon, France.
Azmi ChutooDepartment of Economics and Statistics, University of Mauritius, Moka, Mauritius.
Nawel AriesFaculty of Mathematics, University of Science and Technology Houari Boumediene, Algiers, Bab Ezzouar, Algeria.ORCID 0000-0002-6656-4525

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This paper proposes some high-ordered integer-valued auto-regressive time series process of order p (INAR(p)) with Zero-Inflated and Poisson-mixtures innovation distributions, wherein the predictor functions in these mentioned distributions allow for covariate specification, in particular, time-dependent covariates. The proposed time series structures are tested suitable to model the SARs-CoV-2 series in Mauritius which demonstrates excess zeros and hence significant over-dispersion with non-stationary trend. In addition, the INAR models allow the assessment of possible causes of COVID-19 in Mauritius. The results illustrate that the event of Vaccination and COVID-19 Stringency index are the most influential factors that can reduce the locally acquired COVID-19 cases and ultimately, the associated death cases. Moreover, the INAR(7) with Zero-inflated Negative Binomial innovations provides the best fitting and reliable Root Mean Square Errors, based on some short term forecasts. Undeniably, these information will hugely be useful to Mauritian authorities for implementation of comprehensive policies.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalPoisson DistributionCOVID-19HumansMauritiusSARS-CoV-2Time Factors

Identifiers

PMID35134059
PMCPMC8824322

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.