ArticleScientific reports2022
Reconstruction of the transmission dynamics of the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in Thailand.
Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Machine learning reveals temperature as a key predictor of dengue risk across Thailand's provinces: A 20-year analysis.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Modeling the effectiveness of RT-PCR, RT-LAMP, and antigen testing strategies for COVID-19 control.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Unraveling the drivers of leptospirosis risk in Thailand using machine learning.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Impact of COVID-19 Vaccination in Thailand: Averted Deaths and Severe Infections Across Age Groups.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2024Article
- Article
- Vaccination strategies impact the probability of outbreak extinction: A case study of COVID-19 transmission.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Exploring indoor and outdoor dust as a potential tool for detection and monitoring of COVID-19 transmission.iScience · 2024Article
- A COVID-19 Silver Lining-Decline in Antibiotic Resistance in Ischemic Leg Ulcers during the Pandemic: A 6-Year Retrospective Study from a Regional Tertiary Hospital (2017-2022).Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Modeling vaccination strategies with limited early COVID-19 vaccine access in low- and middle-income countries: A case study of Thailand.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- How Thailand's tourism industry coped with COVID-19 pandemics: a lesson from the pilot Phuket Tourism Sandbox project.Journal of travel medicine · 2023Article
- Enhancing human resilience beyond COVID-19-related stress: public responses to multi-benefits of home gardening.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Exploring the role of superspreading events in SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks.Journal of theoretical biology · 2023Article
- A Statistical Synopsis of COVID-19 Components and Descriptive Analysis of Their Socio-Economic and Healthcare Aspects in Bangladesh Perspective.Journal of environmental and public health · 2023Article
- Individual-based modeling reveals that the COVID-19 isolation period can be shortened by community vaccination.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Estimation of Excess All-Cause Mortality Due to COVID-19 in Thailand.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2022Article
- Limited Sensitivity of a Rapid SARS-CoV-2 Antigen Detection Assay for Surveillance of Asymptomatic Individuals in Thailand.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Thailand was the first country reporting the first Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infected individual outside mainland China. Here we delineated the course of the COVID-19 outbreak together with the timeline of the control measures and public health policies employed by the Thai government during the first wave of the COVID-19 outbreak in Thailand. Based on the comprehensive epidemiological data, we reconstructed the dynamics of COVID-19 transmission in Thailand using a stochastic modeling approach. Our stochastic model incorporated the effects of individual heterogeneity in infectiousness on disease transmission, which allows us to capture relevant features of superspreading events. We found that our model could accurately capture the transmission dynamics of the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in Thailand. The model predicted that at the end of the first wave, the number of cumulative confirmed cases was 3091 (95%CI: 2782-3400). We also estimated the time-varying reproduction number (R
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