Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35131899›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022

Testing fractional doses of COVID-19 vaccines.

Witold Więcek, Amrita Ahuja, Esha Chaudhuri, Michael Kremer, Alexandre Simoes Gomes, Christopher M Snyder, Alex Tabarrok, Brandon Joel Tan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Witold WięcekDevelopment Innovation Lab, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637; witold.wiecek@gmail.com kremerassistant@uchicago.edu.
Amrita AhujaDouglas B. Marshall Jr. Family Foundation, Houston, TX 77002.
Esha ChaudhuriDevelopment Innovation Lab, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637.
Michael KremerDevelopment Innovation Lab, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637; witold.wiecek@gmail.com kremerassistant@uchicago.edu.
Alexandre Simoes GomesDevelopment Innovation Lab, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637.
Christopher M SnyderNational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138.
Alex TabarrokDepartment of Economics, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030.
Brandon Joel TanDepartment of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Due to the enormous economic, health, and social costs of the COVID-19 pandemic, there are high expected social returns to investing in parallel in multiple approaches to accelerating vaccination. We argue there are high expected social returns to investigating the scope for lowering the dosage of some COVID-19 vaccines. While existing evidence is not dispositive, available clinical data on the immunogenicity of lower doses combined with evidence of a high correlation between neutralizing antibody response and vaccine efficacy suggests that half or even quarter doses of some vaccines could generate high levels of protection, particularly against severe disease and death, while potentially expanding supply by 450 million to 1.55 billion doses per month, based on supply projections for 2021. An epidemiological model suggests that, even if fractional doses are less effective than standard doses, vaccinating more people faster could substantially reduce total infections and deaths. The costs of further testing alternative doses are much lower than the expected public health and economic benefits. However, commercial incentives to generate evidence on fractional dosing are weak, suggesting that testing may not occur without public investment. Governments could support either experimental or observational evaluations of fractional dosing, for either primary or booster shots. Discussions with researchers and government officials in multiple countries where vaccines are scarce suggests strong interest in these approaches.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalCOVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesDeveloped CountriesDeveloping CountriesDrug Administration ScheduleHumansImmunization, SecondaryOff-Label UseSARS-CoV-2Survival AnalysisVaccinationCOVID-19 VaccinesCOVID-19dose stretchingfractional dosingpandemicvaccines

Identifiers

PMID35131899
PMCPMC8872706

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.