Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35125563›Full record

ArticleJournal of economic dynamics & control2022

Estimating and simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for many countries, states, and cities.

Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Charles I Jones

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of economic dynamics & control, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 91 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
91citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

91 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Economic Impact Evaluation of COVID-19 Public Health Management Across Countries.The International journal of health planning and management · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Comparative evaluation of behavioral epidemic models using COVID-19 data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. The economic linkages of Covid-19 across sectors and regions in Europe.SERIEs : journal of the Spanish Economic Association · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Policy evaluation during a pandemic.Journal of econometrics · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. New compartment model for COVID-19.Scientific reports · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Firm behavior during an epidemic.Journal of economic dynamics & control · 2023
    Article
  15. The common interests of health protection and the economy: evidence from scenario calculations of COVID-19 containment policies.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. The macroeconomics of age-varying epidemics.European economic review · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

31 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Jesús Fernández-VillaverdeUniversity of Pennsylvania.
Charles I JonesStanford GSB.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We use data on deaths in New York City, Madrid, Stockholm, and other world cities as well as in various U.S. states and other regions and countries to estimate, quickly and with limited data, a standard epidemiological model of COVID-19. We allow for a time-varying contact rate in order to capture behavioral and policy-induced changes associated with social distancing. We simulate the model forward to consider possible scenarios for various countries, states, and cities, including the potential impact of herd immunity on re-opening.

Identifiers

PMID35125563
PMCPMC8799324

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.