Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35120632›Full record

ArticleThe lancet. HIV2022

HIV epidemiology in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean region: a multicountry programme review.

Bridget Mugisa, Ahmed Sabry, Yvan Hutin, Joumana Hermez

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Article in The lancet. HIV, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. An Evolving HIV Epidemic in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region: A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Bridget MugisaDepartment of Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, World Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt. Electronic address: mugisab@who.int.
Ahmed SabryDepartment of Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, World Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.
Yvan HutinDepartment of Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, World Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.
Joumana HermezDepartment of Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, World Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWorldwide, HIV incidence, and mortality has decreased since 2010; however, in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean region, trends continue to increase. We reviewed the regional progress to understand determinants of this situation and inform strategies to accelerate the response.

methodsWe conducted a multicountry programme review of 22 countries in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean region from Jan 1, 2010 to Dec 31, 2020. We extracted data from WHO's global AIDS monitoring system, UNAIDS estimates, and country reports regarding incident cases, policy uptake, and antiretrovirals used. We analysed data to describe incidence, testing practices, treatment coverage, and mortality to identify bottlenecks leading to persisting incidence and mortality.

findingsDue to COVID-19 disruptions, the volume of HIV testing in 2020 halved to 3·0 million tests compared with 2019 with 8017 people living with HIV identified (0·27% positivity yield). In comparison with a 0·18% positivity yield from the 6·5 million tests in 2019. HIV tests were done in migrants (59·6%), groups at low risk (38·9%), and key populations (1·5%). Diagnoses with advanced disease increased from 27·3% in 2017 to 37·0% in 2019. In 2019, among 52 318 people on treatment, only 2888 (6%) received optimised regimens as per WHO recommendations. The number of people on treatment increased from 19 000 in 2010 with a coverage of 8% to 110 000 in 2020 with a coverage of 25%. Late diagnoses and suboptimal regimens could explain the increase in mortality from 9600 in 2010 to 17 000 in 2020.

interpretationIn the Eastern Mediterranean region, inefficient testing and suboptimal treatment lead to underdiagnosis, persisting transmission, late treatment, and rising mortality. The HIV epidemic is growing faster than the response. A change in thinking is needed to test groups at high risk, transition to optimised treatment, and deliver patient-centred services that maximise retention.

fundingWorld Health Organization.

Indexed as

COVID-19HIV InfectionsAnti-Retroviral AgentsHumansSARS-CoV-2World Health OrganizationAnti-Retroviral Agents

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.