Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35118840›Full record

ArticleThe world journal of men's health2022

Algorithms for Predicting the Probability of Azoospermia from Follicle Stimulating Hormone: Design and Multi-Institutional External Validation.

Michael B Tradewell, Walter Cazzaniga, Rodrigo L Pagani, Rohit Reddy, Luca Boeri, Eliyahu Kresch, Luca A Morgantini, Emad Ibrahim, Craig Niederberger, Andrea Salonia and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The world journal of men's health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Michael B TradewellDepartment of Urology, Jackson Health System, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1358-3546
Walter CazzanigaDivision of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Università Vita-Salute San Raffaele, Milano, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0372-5694
Rodrigo L PaganiDepartment of Urology, University of Illinois at Chicago College of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9642-9829
Rohit ReddyDepartment of Urology, Jackson Health System, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1032-6656
Luca BoeriDivision of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Università Vita-Salute San Raffaele, Milano, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0040-784X
Eliyahu KreschDepartment of Urology, Jackson Health System, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8319-0820
Luca A MorgantiniDepartment of Urology, University of Illinois at Chicago College of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8965-6414
Emad IbrahimDepartment of Urology, Jackson Health System, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5076-2845
Craig NiederbergerDepartment of Urology, University of Illinois at Chicago College of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1691-7289
Andrea SaloniaDivision of Experimental Oncology/Unit of Urology, Urological Research Institute, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Università Vita-Salute San Raffaele, Milano, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0595-7165
Ranjith RamasamyDepartment of Urology, Jackson Health System, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA. ramasamy@miami.edu.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1387-7904

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo predict the probability of azoospermia without a semen analysis in men presenting with infertility by developing an azoospermia prediction model. MATERIALS AND

methodsTwo predictive algorithms were generated, one with follicle stimulating hormone (FSH) as the only input and another logistic regression (LR) model with additional clinical inputs of age, luteinizing hormone, total testosterone, and bilateral testis volume. Men presenting between 01/2016 and 03/2020 with semen analyses, testicular ochiodemetry, and serum gonadotropin measurements collected within 120 days were included. An azoospermia prediction model was developed with multi-institutional two-fold external validation from tertiary urologic infertility clinics in Chicago, Miami, and Milan.

resultsTotal 3,497 participants were included (n=Miami 946, Milan 1,955, Chicago 596). Incidence of azoospermia in Miami, Milan, and Chicago was 13.8%, 23.8%, and 32.0%, respectively. Predictive algorithms were generated with Miami data. On Milan external validation, the LR and quadratic FSH models both demonstrated good discrimination with areas under the receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.79 and 0.78, respectively. Data from Chicago performed with AUCs of 0.71 for the FSH only model and 0.72 for LR. Correlation between the quadratic FSH model and LR model was 0.95 with Milan and 0.92 with Chicago data.

conclusionsWe present and validate algorithms to predict the probability of azoospermia. The ability to predict the probability of azoospermia without a semen analysis is useful when there are logistical hurdles in obtaining a semen analysis or for reevaluation prior to surgical sperm extraction.

Indexed as

AzoospermiaFollicle stimulating hormoneInftertilityModels, statisticalSemen analysis

Identifiers

PMID35118840
PMCPMC9482862

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.