Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35107522›Full record

ArticleRevista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical2022

HIV incidence estimates by sex and age group in the population aged 15 years or over, Brazil, 1986-2018.

Célia Landmann Szwarcwald, Paulo Roberto Borges de Souza Júnior, Ana Roberta Pati Pascom, Ronaldo de Almeida Coelho, Rachel Abrahão Ribeiro, Giseli Nogueira Damacena, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Maria Cristina Pimenta, Gerson Fernandes Mendes Pereira

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  10. Adverse Perinatal Outcomes among Adolescent Pregnant Women Living with HIV: A Propensity-Score-Matched Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Article
  11. Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Célia Landmann SzwarcwaldFundação Oswaldo Cruz, Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7798-2095
Paulo Roberto Borges de Souza JúniorFundação Oswaldo Cruz, Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8142-4790
Ana Roberta Pati PascomMinistério da Saúde, Departamento de Condições Crônicas e Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis, Brasília, DF, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2646-3383
Ronaldo de Almeida CoelhoMinistério da Saúde, Departamento de Condições Crônicas e Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis, Brasília, DF, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8667-0125
Rachel Abrahão RibeiroMinistério da Saúde, Departamento de Condições Crônicas e Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis, Brasília, DF, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9799-9233
Giseli Nogueira DamacenaFundação Oswaldo Cruz, Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7059-3353
Deborah Carvalho MaltaUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Escola de Enfermagem, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8214-5734
Maria Cristina PimentaMinistério da Saúde, Departamento de Condições Crônicas e Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis, Brasília, DF, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4205-9786
Gerson Fernandes Mendes PereiraMinistério da Saúde, Departamento de Condições Crônicas e Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis, Brasília, DF, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8886-1662

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionHIV incidence estimates are essential to monitor the progress of prevention and control interventions.

methodsData collected by Brazilian surveillance systems were used to derive HIV incidence estimates by age group (15-24; 25+) and sex from 1986 to 2018. This study used a back-calculation method based on the first CD4 count among treatment-naïve cases. Incidence estimates for the population aged 15 years or over were compared to Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) estimates from 2000 to 2018.

resultsAmong young men (15-24 years), HIV incidence increased from 6,400 (95% CI: 4,900-8,400), in 2000, to 12,800 (95% CI: 10,800-15,900), in 2015, reaching incidence rates higher than 70/100,000 inhabitants and an annual growth rate of 3.7%. Among young women, HIV incidence decreased from 5,000 (95% CI: 4,200-6,100) to 3,200 (95% CI: 3,000-3,700). Men aged ≥25 years and both female groups showed significant annual decreases in incidence rates from 2000 to 2018. In 2018, the estimated number of new infections was 48,500 (95% CI: 45300-57500), 34,800 (95% CI: 32800-41500) men, 13,600 (95% CI: 12,500-16,000) women. Improvements in the time from infection to diagnosis and in the proportion of cases receiving antiretroviral therapy immediately after diagnosis were found for all groups. Comparison with GBD estimates shows similar rates for men with overlapping confidence intervals. Among women, differences are higher mainly in more recent years.

conclusionsThe results indicate that efforts to control the HIV epidemic are having an impact. However, there is an urgent need to address the vulnerability of young men.

Indexed as

EpidemicsHIV InfectionsAdolescentBrazilCD4 Lymphocyte CountFemaleHumansIncidenceMale

Identifiers

PMID35107522
PMCPMC9009433

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.