Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35105666›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2022

Changes in cardiovascular mortality in Chile during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Sheng-Wei Chang, Pedro Zitko, Álvaro Passi-Solar, Goodarz Danaei, Paula Margozzini

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Sheng-Wei ChangGlobal Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8394-4602
Pedro ZitkoDepartment of Public Health, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Álvaro Passi-SolarDepartment of Public Health, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Goodarz DanaeiGlobal Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Paula MargozziniGlobal Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA pmargozz@uc.cl.
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile · CLHarvard Global Health Institute · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe COVID-19 pandemic has impacted regular cardiovascular healthcare access and delivery. Service utilisation has declined, and excess cardiovascular mortality has been reported in several countries. We aim to estimate excess cardiovascular deaths in Chile during 2020.

methodsWe collected mortality data from the Chilean Department of Statistics and Health Information and refined them using the maps of Global Burden of Disease Studies in 2017 and 2010. We conducted a time series analysis using quasi-Poisson distribution to predict cardiovascular mortality in 2020 and compared it with observed numbers and calculated attributable fractions (AFs) with 95% uncertainty intervals, as a whole and by sex, age group and type of cardiovascular disease.

resultsDuring 2015-2020, 173 283 cardiovascular deaths were recorded, with 28 141 deaths in 2020. The observation in 2020 was lower than our projection in the overall data (-4.0% (-5.0% to -2.8%)) and in male (-11.7% (-13% to -10.3%)). However, positive AFs were noted among female (5.0% (3.2% to 6.8%)), people in age group 80-89 years (11.0% (8.6% to 13.5%)) and people who died from hypertensive heart diseases (18.9% (14.7% to 23.5%)).

conclusionsLess overall cardiovascular deaths were observed in 2020 compared with our projection, possibly associated with competing risks from COVID-19 infection in men. Nonetheless, excess cardiovascular deaths were observed among women, people in the age group 80-89 years and people who died from hypertensive heart diseases suggesting possible negative cardiovascular impacts brought by the pandemic on these vulnerable groups.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCOVID-19Heart DiseasesAged, 80 and overChileFemaleGlobal HealthHumansMaleMortalityPandemicsCOVID-19delivery of healthcareepidemiologyglobal burden of diseaseglobal health

Identifiers

PMID35105666
PMCPMC8822542
OpenAlexW4210413658

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.