Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35104873›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2022

Balancing Statistical Power and Risk in HIV Cure Clinical Trial Design.

Jillian S Y Lau, Deborah Cromer, Mykola Pinkevych, Sharon R Lewin, Thomas A Rasmussen, James H McMahon, Miles P Davenport

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Jillian S Y LauDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Alfred Hospital, Prahran, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6797-4307
Deborah CromerInfection Analytics Program, Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Mykola PinkevychInfection Analytics Program, Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Sharon R LewinDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Alfred Hospital, Prahran, Australia.
Thomas A RasmussenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, Australia.
James H McMahonDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Alfred Hospital, Prahran, Australia.
Miles P DavenportInfection Analytics Program, Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
UNSW Sydney · AUMonash Medical Centre · AUThe Royal Melbourne Hospital · AUThe University of Melbourne · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAnalytical treatment interruptions (ATI) are pauses of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the context of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) cure trials. They are the gold standard in determining if interventions being tested can achieve sustained virological control in the absence of ART. However, withholding ART comes with risks and discomforts to trial participant. We used mathematical models to explore how ATI study design can be improved to maximize statistical power, while minimizing risks to participants.

methodsUsing previously observed dynamics of time to viral rebound (TVR) post-ATI, we modelled estimates for optimal sample size, frequency, and ATI duration required to detect a significant difference in the TVR between control and intervention groups. Groups were compared using a log-rank test, and analytical and stochastic techniques.

resultsIn placebo-controlled TVR studies, 120 participants are required in each arm to detect 30% difference in frequency of viral reactivation at 80% power. There was little statistical advantage to measuring viral load more frequently than weekly, or interrupting ART beyond 5 weeks in a TVR study.

conclusionsCurrent TVR HIV cure studies are underpowered to detect statistically significant changes in frequency of viral reactivation. Alternate study designs can improve the statistical power of ATI trials.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials as TopicHIV InfectionsWithholding TreatmentAnti-Retroviral AgentsHumansResearch DesignRisk AssessmentViral LoadAnti-Retroviral Agentsanalytical treatment interruptionHIV cureHIV infectionmodellingposttreatment controllersviral rebound

Identifiers

PMID35104873
PMCPMC9400422
OpenAlexW4210543235

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.