ArticleFrontiers in public health2021
Forecasting the Health Transition and Medical Expenditure of the Future Elderly in China: A Longitudinal Study Based on Markov Chain and Two Part Model.
Article in Frontiers in public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Knowledge, attitudes, and practices toward postoperative rehabilitation among females with rotator cuff injury: a cross-sectional study.Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research · 2025Article
- Association Between Arterial Stiffness Index and Age-Related Diseases: A Mendelian Randomization Study.Rejuvenation research · 2025Article
- Effects of population aging on quality of life and disease burden: a population-based study.Global health research and policy · 2025Article
- Spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of the coupling and coordinated development of China's digital economy and older adult care services.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Help or Hurt? The Impact of Digital Finance on the Physical Health of the Elderly in China.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Nonlinear Effects of the Built Environment on Light Physical Activity among Older Adults: The Case of Lanzhou, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
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Abstract
Set in the rapid development of population aging, this study focuses on the relationship between health and medical expenditure of the elderly population. Taking the health and medical expenditure of the elderly as the research object, this study analyzes the characteristics and the intrinsic relationship between them. Based on the future elderly model, this study calculates the transition probability of the elderly's self-assessment health state using the Health Transition Model and estimates the medical expenditure of the elderly by the Two-Part Model. Based on the above, this study predicts the trend of the population size and medical expenditure of the elderly in the next 15 years (2020-2035). Based on the results, the policy suggestions are put forward. To begin with, strengthening health management and health services for the elderly in the construction of healthy China. Next, building a comprehensive system of health care for the elderly in government, society, family, and individual. Then, establishing a long-term care service system as soon as possible. In addition, it is better to establish lifelong health consciousness and cultivate healthy accomplishment behavior. Finally, it is necessary to promote gender mainstreaming in the health field.
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