Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35095095›Full record

ArticleJournal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology2022

Assessment of the COVID-19 infection risk at a workplace through stochastic microexposure modeling.

Sergey Vecherin, Derek Chang, Emily Wells, Benjamin Trump, Aaron Meyer, Jacob Desmond, Kyle Dunn, Maxim Kitsak, Igor Linkov

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Mechanics of pandemics.EClinicalMedicine · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. A simplicial epidemic model for COVID-19 spread analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Sergey VecherinEngineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS, USA. Sergey.N.Vecherin@usace.army.mil.
Derek ChangEngineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS, USA.
Emily WellsEngineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS, USA.
Benjamin TrumpEngineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS, USA.
Aaron MeyerEngineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS, USA.
Jacob DesmondEngineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS, USA.
Kyle DunnEngineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS, USA.
Maxim KitsakDelft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands.
Igor LinkovEngineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS, USA. Igor.Linkov@usace.army.mil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0823-8107

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has a significant impact on economy. Decisions regarding the reopening of businesses should account for infection risks.

objectiveThis paper describes a novel model for COVID-19 infection risks and policy evaluations.

methodsThe model combines the best principles of the agent-based, microexposure, and probabilistic modeling approaches. It takes into account specifics of a workplace, mask efficiency, and daily routines of employees, but does not require specific inter-agent rules for simulations. Likewise, it does not require knowledge of microscopic disease related parameters. Instead, the risk of infection is aggregated into the probability of infection, which depends on the duration and distance of every contact. The probability of infection at the end of a workday is found using rigorous probabilistic rules. Unlike previous models, this approach requires only a few reference data points for calibration, which are more easily collected via empirical studies.

resultsThe application of the model is demonstrated for a typical office environment and for a real-world case.

conclusionThe proposed model allows for effective risk assessment and policy evaluation when there are large uncertainties about the disease, making it particularly suitable for COVID-19 risk assessments.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansModels, StatisticalPandemicsRisk AssessmentWorkplaceCOVID-19 risk assessmentDisease Spreading ModelingMicroenvironment approachProbability of infectionSpatial probability of transmissionTemporal probability of transmission

Identifiers

PMID35095095
PMCPMC8801387

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.