ArticleJournal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine2022
Unemployment and Crime in US Cities During the Coronavirus Pandemic.
Article in Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis: Risk Factors of Violence During First-Episode Psychosis.Trauma, violence & abuse · 2026Pooled it
- Explainable AI for public health surveillance: investigating the persistent crisis of intentional injury mortality (suicide and homicide) in the Americas.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Firearm Homicide in Pregnant Women and State-Level Firearm Ownership.JAMA network open · 2025Article
- Trends and Disparities in Firearm Injuries Among Emerging Adults: A 15-Year Analysis of Emergency Department Admissions in the U.S.AJPM focus · 2025Article
- A Study on How Libraries Operate as Health Spaces in the United States.Journal of community health · 2025Article
- Physical development of infants born to patients with COVID-19 during pregnancy: 2 years of age.PeerJ · 2024Observational
- COVID-19 and Gun Violence: Keeping Unknown Shocks and Volatility in Perspective.Criminal justice review · 2023Article
- The Impact of Urban Facilities on Crime during the Pre- and Pandemic Periods: A Practical Study in Beijing.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Trends in Pregnancy-Associated Homicide, United States, 2020.American journal of public health · 2022Article
- Preventing Urban Firearm Homicides during COVID-19: Preliminary Results from Three Cities with the Advance Peace Program.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2022Article
- Article
- Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on gunshot injuries at a level-1 trauma centre: a retrospective study on a 5-year period.Canadian journal of surgery. Journal canadien de chirurgieArticle
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
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Abstract
Unemployment and violence both increased during the coronavirus pandemic in the United States (US), but no studies to our knowledge have examined their association. Using data for 16 US cities from January 2018 to July 2020, we estimated the association between acute changes in unemployment during the coronavirus pandemic and violent and acquisitive crime. We used negative binomial regression models and parametric g-computation to estimate average differences in crime incidents if the highest and lowest levels of unemployment observed in each city had been sustained across the exposure period (March-July 2020), compared with observed unemployment in each city-month. During the pandemic, the percentage of the adult population who were unemployed was 8.1 percentage points higher than expected, on average. Increases in unemployment were associated with increases in firearm violence and homicide. For example, we estimated an average increase of 3.3 firearm violence incidents (95% CI: - 0.2, 6.7) and 2.0 homicides (95% CI: - 0.2, 3.9) per city-month from March to July 2020 if all cities experienced their highest versus observed level of unemployment. There was no association between unemployment and aggravated assault or any acquisitive crime. Findings suggest that the sharp rise in unemployment during the pandemic may have contributed to increases in firearm violence and homicide, but not other crime. Additional research is needed on mechanisms of association, generalizability, and modifying factors.
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