Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35083430›Full record

ArticleArray (New York, N.Y.)2021

Prediction of the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases based on K-means-LSTM.

Shashank Reddy Vadyala, Sai Nethra Betgeri, Eric A Sherer, Amod Amritphale

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Array (New York, N.Y.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Possibility of the COVID-19 third wave in India: mapping from second wave to third wave.Indian journal of physics and proceedings of the Indian Association for the Cultivation of Science (2004) · 2023
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  15. Role of Hypertension on the Severity of COVID-19: A Review.Journal of cardiovascular pharmacology · 2021
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Shashank Reddy VadyalaDepartment of Computational Analysis and Modeling, Louisiana Tech University, Ruston, LA, United States.
Sai Nethra BetgeriDepartment of Computational Analysis and Modeling, Louisiana Tech University, Ruston, LA, United States.
Eric A ShererDepartment of Chemical Engineering, Louisiana Tech University, Ruston, LA, United States.
Amod AmritphaleDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiology, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL, United States.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

COVID-19 is a pandemic disease that began to rapidly spread in the US, with the first case detected on January 19, 2020, in Washington State. March 9, 2020, and then quickly increased with total cases of 25,739 as of April 20, 2020. Although most people with coronavirus 81%, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), will have little to mild symptoms, others may rely on a ventilator to breathe or not at all. SEIR models have broad applicability in predicting the outcome of the population with a variety of diseases. However, many researchers use these models without validating the necessary hypotheses. Far too many researchers often "overfit" the data by using too many predictor variables and small sample sizes to create models. Models thus developed are unlikely to stand validity check on a separate group of population and regions. The researcher remains unaware that overfitting has occurred, without attempting such validation. In the paper, we present a combination algorithm that combines similar days features selection based on the region using Xgboost, K-Means, and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks to construct a prediction model (i.e., K-Means-LSTM) for short-term COVID-19 cases forecasting in Louisana state USA. The weighted k-means algorithm based on extreme gradient boosting is used to evaluate the similarity between the forecasts and past days. The results show that the method with K-Means-LSTM has a higher accuracy with an RMSE of 601.20 whereas the SEIR model with an RMSE of 3615.83.

Indexed as

CoronavirusCOVID-19COVID-19, coronavirus diseaseDay level forecastingDeep learningLSTM, long short-term memoryNeural networkRMSE, root mean square errorSEIR ModelSEIR, Susceptible Exposed to Infectious RecoveredUSA, United States of AmericaWHO, World Health Organization

Identifiers

PMID35083430
PMCPMC8378999

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.