Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35081688›Full record

ArticleHaematologica2022

A risk score based on real-world data to predict early death in acute promyelocytic leukemia.

Albin Österroos, Tânia Maia, Anna Eriksson, Martin Jädersten, Vladimir Lazarevic, Lovisa Wennström, Petar Antunovic, Jörg Cammenga, Stefan Deneberg, Fryderyk Lorenz and 8 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Haematologica, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  7. Predictors of Early Death in Acute Promyelocytic Leukemia.Medical sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Hemorrhage in acute promyelocytic leukemia-fibrinolysis in focus.Research and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis · 2024
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. How to avoid early mortality in acute promyelocytic leukemia.Hematology. American Society of Hematology. Education Program · 2023
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 9 institutions in 2 countries.

Albin ÖsterroosDepartment of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala.
Tânia MaiaDepartment of Clinical Hematology, University Hospital Center of São João, Porto.
Anna ErikssonDepartment of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala.
Martin JäderstenDepartment of Hematology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm.
Vladimir LazarevicDepartment of Hematology, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden; Stem Cell Center, Department of Hematology, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Lund University, Lund.
Lovisa WennströmDepartment of Hematology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg.
Petar AntunovicDepartment of Hematology, Linköping University Hospital, Linköping.
Jörg CammengaDepartment of Hematology, Linköping University Hospital, Linköping.
Stefan DenebergDepartment of Hematology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm.
Fryderyk LorenzDepartment of Hematology, Norrland University Hospital, Umeå.
Lars MöllgårdDepartment of Hematology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg.
Bertil UgglaDepartment of Medicine, Division of Hematology, Örebro University Hospital, Örebro.
Emma ÖlanderDepartment of Hematology, Sundsvall Hospital, Sundsvall.
Eliana AguiarDepartment of Clinical Hematology, University Hospital Center of São João, Porto.
Fernanda TrigoDepartment of Clinical Hematology, University Hospital Center of São João, Porto.
Martin HöglundDepartment of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala.
Gunnar JuliussonDepartment of Hematology, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden; Stem Cell Center, Department of Hematology, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Lund University, Lund.
Sören LehmannDepartment of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden; Department of Hematology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm. soren.lehmann@medsci.uu.se.
Hospital de São João · PTKarolinska University Hospital · SEUppsala University · SELinköping University Hospital · SESahlgrenska University Hospital · SESkåne University Hospital · SEÖrebro University Hospital · SESundsvall Municipality · SEUniversity Hospital of Umeå · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

With increasingly effective treatments, early death (ED) has become the predominant reason for therapeutic failure in patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL). To better prevent ED, patients with high-risk of ED must be identified. Our aim was to develop a score that predicts the risk of ED in a real-life setting. We used APL patients in the populationbased Swedish AML Registry (n=301) and a Portuguese hospital-based registry (n=129) as training and validation cohorts, respectively. The cohorts were comparable with respect to age (median, 54 and 53 years) and ED rate (19.6% and 18.6%). The score was developed by logistic regression analyses, risk-per-quantile assessment and scoring based on ridge regression coefficients from multivariable penalized logistic regression analysis. White blood cell count, platelet count and age were selected by this approach as the most significant variables for predicting ED. The score identified low-, high- and very high-risk patients with ED risks of 4.8%, 20.2% and 50.9% respectively in the training cohort and with 6.7%, 25.0% and 36.0% as corresponding values for the validation cohort. The score identified an increased risk of ED already at sub-normal and normal white blood cell counts and, consequently, it was better at predicting ED risk than the Sanz score (AUROC 0.77 vs. 0.64). In summary, we here present an externally validated and population-based risk score to predict ED risk in a real-world setting, identifying patients with the most urgent need of aggressive ED prevention. The results also suggest that increased vigilance for ED is already necessary at sub-normal/normal white blood cell counts.

Indexed as

Leukemia, Promyelocytic, AcuteCohort StudiesHumansLeukocyte CountRisk FactorsTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID35081688
PMCPMC9244824
OpenAlexW4210517995

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.