ArticleJournal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open2022
Projected Saudi Arabian pediatric emergency consultant physician staffing needs for 2021-2030.
Article in Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Characteristics of pediatric e-referrals through SMARC system: a two-year national analysis.Frontiers in medicine · 2025Article
- Knowledge and Attitudes of Saudi Medical Students about Emergency Management of Traumatic Dental Injuries.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Projected Saudi Arabian pediatric emergency consultant physician staffing needs for 2021-2030.Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAssess current and future pediatric emergency physician supply and need at 26 pediatric emergency departments (EDs) in 10 administrative regions across Saudi Arabia from 2021 through 2030.
methodsFor 10 administrative regions across Saudi Arabia, data were obtained on the size of the pediatric population (children <14 years old), the expected number of pediatric ED visits, and the number of pediatric emergency, fellowship-trained consultant physicians for the years 2015 through 2019. Time series linear regression modeling was used to estimate annual pediatric population sizes and pediatric ED visits for 2021-2030, based on 2015-2019 data trends. The projected number of pediatric emergency consultant physicians needed for 2021-2030 based on these trends was calculated according to a consensus method adopted by the Saudi Ministry of Health.
resultsFor the 10 Saudi Arabian administrative regions, the pediatric population is estimated to be 8,061,409 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7,815,767 to 8,307,052) in 2021 and 9,764,591 (95% CI: 9,046,490 to 10,500,000) for 2030, and estimated the number of pediatric ED visits is 3,442,259 (95% CI: 3,013,697 to 3,870,822) for 2021 and 4,610,072 (95% CI: 3,026,986 to 6,193,158) for 2030. The projected number of pediatric emergency consultant physicians needed for 2021 is 1158 (95% CI: 1,002 to 1,314) and for 2030 is 1500 (95% CI: 985 to 2016), whereas deficit in number of pediatric emergency consultant physicians available is 1107 (95% CI: 944 to 1,270) for 2021 and 1405 (95% CI: 869 to 1,941) for 2030.
conclusionsThe study projections demonstrate a disparity between current and projected supply and demand of pediatric emergency physicians within Saudi Arabia.
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