Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35079127›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Development and validation of a machine learning method to predict intraoperative red blood cell transfusions in cardiothoracic surgery.

Zheng Wang, Shandian Zhe, Joshua Zimmerman, Candice Morrisey, Joseph E Tonna, Vikas Sharma, Ryan A Metcalf

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Recent advances in cardiac anaesthesia.Indian journal of anaesthesia · 2023
    Article
  11. The future of Cardiothoracic surgery in Artificial intelligence.Annals of medicine and surgery (2012) · 2022
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Zheng WangSchool of Computing, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Shandian ZheSchool of Computing, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Joshua ZimmermanDepartment of Anesthesiology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Candice MorriseyDepartment of Anesthesiology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Joseph E TonnaDivision of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Vikas SharmaDivision of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Ryan A MetcalfDepartment of Pathology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA. ryan.metcalf@path.utah.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurately predicting red blood cell (RBC) transfusion requirements in cardiothoracic (CT) surgery could improve blood inventory management and be used as a surrogate marker for assessing hemorrhage risk preoperatively. We developed a machine learning (ML) method to predict intraoperative RBC transfusions in CT surgery. A detailed database containing time-stamped clinical variables for all CT surgeries from 5/2014-6/2019 at a single center (n = 2410) was used for model development. After random forest feature selection, surviving features were inputs for ML algorithms using five-fold cross-validation. The dataset was updated with 437 additional cases from 8/2019-8/2020 for validation. We developed and validated a hybrid ML method given the skewed nature of the dataset. Our Gaussian Process (GP) regression ML algorithm accurately predicted RBC transfusion amounts of 0 and 1-3 units (root mean square error, RMSE 0.117 and 1.705, respectively) and our GP classification ML algorithm accurately predicted 4 + RBC units transfused (area under the curve, AUC = 0.826). The final prediction is the regression result if classification predicted < 4 units transfused, or the classification result if 4 + units were predicted. We developed and validated an ML method to accurately predict intraoperative RBC transfusions in CT surgery using local data.

Indexed as

Machine LearningFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsThoracic Surgery

Identifiers

PMID35079127
PMCPMC8789772

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.