Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35077026›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2022

Is young-onset esophageal adenocarcinoma increasing in Japan? An analysis of population-based cancer registries.

Eiko Saito, Tomonori Yano, Megumi Hori, Daisuke Yoneoka, Tomohiro Matsuda, Yichi Chen, Kota Katanoda

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Eiko SaitoDivision of Cancer Statistics Integration, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-4550-9631
Tomonori YanoDepartment of Gastroenterology and Endoscopy, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan.
Megumi HoriDivision of Cancer Statistics Integration, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
Daisuke YoneokaDivision of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Graduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.
Tomohiro MatsudaNational Cancer Registry Section, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
Yichi ChenDepartment of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
Kota KatanodaDivision of Cancer Statistics Integration, Center for Cancer Control and Information Services, National Cancer Center, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
National Cancer Center · USDepartment of Health · IENational Cancer Center Hospital East · JPSt. Luke's International University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the predominant histological type in Japan, concern has been expressed over an increase in the proportion of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), especially in middle-aged populations. This study aimed to assess long-term trends in esophageal cancer incidence by histological type.

methodsWe used data from three population-based cancer registries in Japan with 10,642 esophageal cancer cases diagnosed between 1993 and 2014. The multiple imputation approach was used to impute a specific histological type (ESCC, EAC, and others) for cases with "Unknown" or missing status. We calculated the age-standardized incidence rates by histological type from 1993 to 2014 and fitted age-period-cohort models to estimate the annual percent changes (APCs) and adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs).

resultsAfter imputation of missing data, the largest mean APC increase was seen in the incidence of EAC in men aged 40-49 years (7.1%) followed by those aged 50-59 years (5.5%). The age-period-cohort analysis showed that men who were born in the 1960s and later were more likely to develop EAC relative to men who were born in 1950-1959 (1960-1969 cohort, IRR: 1.42; 1970-1974 cohort, IRR: 2.23), with a period effect indicating a constant increase after 2003. For women, no significant trend in EAC incidence was observed.

conclusionsThe incidence of EAC has increased more prominently compared with that of ESCC, especially in men aged 40-59 years, suggesting the impact of increasing obesity in men and a reduction in H. pylori prevalence in Japan.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomaHelicobacter pyloriFemaleHumansIncidenceJapanMaleMiddle AgedRare DiseasesRegistriesage-period-cohort modelcancer registryesophageal cancerincidencemissing datamultiple imputationneoplasms

Identifiers

PMID35077026
PMCPMC8894695
OpenAlexW4210754728

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.