Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35071160›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2021

Trends of Healthy Life Expectancy of the Elderly in China in 1994-2015: Revisiting From the Perspective of Morbidity Transition.

Zhen Zhang, Junhan Dong, Chenyuan Zhao, Qiang Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Zhen ZhangInstitute of Population Research, School of Social Development and Public Policy, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Junhan DongSchool of Sociology and Population Studies, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China.
Chenyuan ZhaoPopulation Research Institute, School of Social Development, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China.
Qiang LiPopulation Research Institute, School of Social Development, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Research on healthy life expectancy (HLE) in China has been fueled by a spate of new data sources and studies, yet no consensus is reached on the pattern of HLE changes and the underlying mechanism. This study examined the change of HLE in China over 20 years with long term national data. Health status, measured by activities of daily living, is combined with mortality to calculate the disability-free life expectancy by the Sullivan method. The results show that the HLE rose slower than life expectancy (LE) in 1994-2004, indicating morbidity expansion. However, in 2010-2015, the proportion of HLE to LE increased, manifesting morbidity compression. A counterfactual analysis further shows that health improvement has been increasingly important in increasing HLE in 2010-2015, despite the dominance of mortality decline. The findings suggest that morbidity can transition between compression, expansion and dynamic equilibrium over a long period due to different combinations of mortality and health improvements. Given the limited data in this study, whether and how morbidity transitions unfold in the future remains open and requires further research.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingHealthy Life ExpectancyAgedChinaHumansLife ExpectancyMorbidityactivities of daily livingChinadisability-free life expectancyhealth life expectancylife expectancymorbidity transitionolder people

Identifiers

PMID35071160
PMCPMC8766505

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.