Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35070749›Full record

ArticleTranslational lung cancer research2021

Risk-based prediction model for selecting eligible population for lung cancer screening among ever smokers in Korea.

Boyoung Park, Yeol Kim, Jaeho Lee, Nayoung Lee, Seung Hun Jang

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Translational lung cancer research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Risk prediction for lung cancer screening: a systematic review and meta-regression.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
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  15. Lung cancer risk score for ever and never smokers in China.Cancer communications (London, England) · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Boyoung ParkDivision of Cancer Prevention and Early Detection, National Cancer Control Institute, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Yeol KimDivision of Cancer Prevention and Early Detection, National Cancer Control Institute, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Jaeho LeeDivision of Cancer Prevention and Early Detection, National Cancer Control Institute, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Nayoung LeeDivision of Cancer Prevention and Early Detection, National Cancer Control Institute, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Seung Hun JangDepartment of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care Medicine, Hallym University Sacred Heart Hospital, Anyang, Korea.
National Cancer Center · KRHallym University Sacred Heart Hospital · KRHanyang University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study developed a new lung cancer risk prediction model for the Korean population and evaluated the performance, compared to the previously reported risk models developed in Western countries.

methodsAmong the 6,811,893 people who received health examinations from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, 969,351 ever-smokers (40-79 years) were included. Performance of Bach, Lung Cancer Risk Models for Screening, PLCOM2012, Pittsburgh, and Liverpool Lung Project models were evaluated. The ever-smokers were divided into the training and validation datasets by random sampling. The lung cancer risk model was developed and validated in the Korean population. The efficiency of model-based selection for lung cancer screening was compared with the eligible criteria of the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST).

resultsThe Korean lung cancer risk model showed the area under the curve and expected/observed (E/O) ratio of 0.816 and 0.983 in the training dataset and 0.816 and 0.988 in the validation dataset. The Korean lung cancer risk model included age-mean of age, square of age-mean of age, sex, square root of pack-years of smoking, years since cessation, physical activity, alcohol consumption, body mass index, and medical history of chronic pulmonary obstructive disease, emphysema, pneumoconiosis, and interstitial pulmonary disease. Compared with the NLST criteria, the Korean lung cancer risk model's cut-off criteria (>2.1%) had more improved sensitivity (61.4%

conclusionsThe Korean lung cancer risk model can select eligible population for low-dose computed tomography screening among the Asian population. The efficiency of risk model-based selection for lung cancer screening is superior to that of fixed criteria-based selection.

Indexed as

low-dose computed tomography screening (LDCT screening)Lung cancerNational Lung Screening Trial criteria (NLST criteria)prediction model

Identifiers

PMID35070749
PMCPMC8743515
OpenAlexW3217693947

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.