ArticleJournal for general philosophy of science = Zeitschrift fur allgemeine Wissenschaftstheorie2022
Direct Inference and Probabilistic Accounts of Induction.
Article in Journal for general philosophy of science = Zeitschrift fur allgemeine Wissenschaftstheorie, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Empirical Bayes Methods, Evidentialism, and the Inferential Roles They Play.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
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Abstract
Schurz (2019, ch. 4) argues that probabilistic accounts of induction fail. In particular, he criticises probabilistic accounts of induction that appeal to direct inference principles, including subjective Bayesian approaches (e.g., Howson 2000) and objective Bayesian approaches (see, e.g., Williamson 2017). In this paper, I argue that Schurz' preferred direct inference principle, namely Reichenbach's Principle of the Narrowest Reference Class, faces formidable problems in a standard probabilistic setting. Furthermore, the main alternative direct inference principle, Lewis' Principal Principle, is also hard to reconcile with standard probabilism. So, I argue, standard probabilistic approaches cannot appeal to direct inference to explicate the logic of induction. However, I go on to defend a non-standard objective Bayesian account of induction: I argue that this approach can both accommodate direct inference and provide a viable account of the logic of induction. I then defend this account against Schurz' criticisms.
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