Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35064502›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental science and pollution research international2022

Predicting the dust events frequency around a degraded ecosystem and determining the contribution of their controlling factors using gradient boosting-based approaches and game theory.

Zohre Ebrahimi-Khusfi, Fatemeh Dargahian, Ali Reza Nafarzadegan

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Article in Environmental science and pollution research international, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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2 citing papers in PubMed.

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3 authors.

Zohre Ebrahimi-Khusfi *Department of Ecological Engineering, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Jiroft, Jiroft, Iran. Zohreebrahimi2018@ujiroft.ac.ir.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1036-6386
Fatemeh Dargahian *Desert Research Division, Research Institute of Forests and Rangelands, Agricultural Research Education and Extension Organization (AREEO), Tehran, Iran.
Ali Reza Nafarzadegan *Department of Natural Resources Engineering, University of Hormozgan, Bandar-Abbas, , Hormozgan, Iran. a.r.nafarzadegan@hormozgan.ac.ir.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1687-4787

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study was aimed to evaluate the performance of gradient boosting machine (GBM) and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) models with linear, tree, and DART boosters to predict monthly dust events frequency (MDEF) around a degraded wetland in southwestern Iran. The monthly required data for a long-term period from 1988 to 2018 were obtained through ground stations and satellite imageries. The best predictors were selected among the eighteen climatic, terrestrial, and hydrological variables based on the multicollinearity (MC) test and the Boruta algorithm. The models' performance was evaluated using the Taylor diagram. Game theory (i.e., SHAP values: SHV) was used to determine the contribution of factors controlling MDEF in different seasons. Mean wind speed, maximum wind speed, rainfall, standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), soil moisture, erosive winds frequency, vapor pressure, vegetation area, water body area, and dried bed area of the wetland were confirmed as the best variables for predicting the MDEF around the studied wetland. The XGB-linear and XGB-tree showed a higher capability in predicting the MDEF variations in the summer and spring seasons. However, the XGB-Dart yielded better than XGB-linear and XGB-tree models in predicting the MDEF during the autumn and winter seasons. Rainfall (SHV = 1.6), surface water discharge (SHV = 2.4), mean wind speed (SHV = 10.1), and erosive winds frequency (SHV = 1.6) had the highest contribution in predicting the target variable in winter, spring, summer, and autumn, respectively. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of the gradient boosting-based approaches and game theory in determining the factors affecting MDEF around a destroyed international wetland in southwestern Iran and the findings may be used to diminish their impacts on residents of this region of Iran.

Indexed as

DustEcosystemGame TheoryWaterWetlandsDustWaterDust events frequencyEnvironmental factorsExtreme gradient boostingIranMachine learningShadegan International WetlandSHAP valuesWetland degradation

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