Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35061877›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2022

Estimated incidence of previously undetected atrial fibrillation on a 14-day continuous electrocardiographic monitor and associated risk of stroke.

William F McIntyre, Jia Wang, Alexander P Benz, Linda Johnson, Stuart J Connolly, Isabelle C Van Gelder, Renato D Lopes, Michael R Gold, Stefan H Hohnloser, Chu Pak Lau and 4 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Development and validation of a prediction model for ischemic stroke recurrence risk in patients with ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Early detection of atrial fibrillation in the digital era, risk factors, treatment options, and the need for new definitions.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Length of hospital stay for elective electrophysiological procedures: a survey from the European Heart Rhythm Association.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Insertable cardiac monitoring results in higher rates of atrial fibrillation diagnosis and oral anticoagulation prescription after ischaemic stroke.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  12. The influence of atrial high-rate episodes on stroke and cardiovascular death: an update.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  13. Incidence of clinical atrial fibrillation and related complications using a screening algorithm at a nationwide level.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Estimated incidence of previously undetected atrial fibrillation on a 14-day continuous electrocardiographic monitor and associated risk of stroke: comment-Authors' reply.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  16. Estimated incidence of previously undetected atrial fibrillation on a 14-day continuous electrocardiographic monitor and associated risk of stroke: comment.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 6 institutions in 6 countries.

William F McIntyrePopulation Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E C3-109, Hamilton, ON L8L 2X2, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-6082-7542
Jia WangPopulation Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E C3-109, Hamilton, ON L8L 2X2, Canada.
Alexander P BenzPopulation Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E C3-109, Hamilton, ON L8L 2X2, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-2555-1266
Linda JohnsonPopulation Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E C3-109, Hamilton, ON L8L 2X2, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2249-8220
Stuart J ConnollyPopulation Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E C3-109, Hamilton, ON L8L 2X2, Canada.
Isabelle C Van GelderDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Renato D LopesDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke Medicine, Durham, NC, USA.
Michael R GoldDivision of Cardiology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC, USA.
Stefan H HohnloserDepartment of Electrophysiology, J.W. Goetshe University, Frankfurt, Germany.
Chu Pak LauDepartment of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3526-8950
Carsten W IsraelDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Evangelical Hospital Bielefeld, Bielefeld, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1101-7556
Jorge A WongPopulation Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E C3-109, Hamilton, ON L8L 2X2, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2527-8936
David ConenPopulation Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E C3-109, Hamilton, ON L8L 2X2, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2459-5251
Jeff S HealeyPopulation Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E C3-109, Hamilton, ON L8L 2X2, Canada.
Population Health Research Institute · CAClinical Research Institute · USEvangelisches Krankenhaus Bielefeld · DEMedical University of South Carolina · USQueen Mary Hospital · CNUniversity Medical Center Groningen · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThere is uncertainty about whether and how to perform screening for atrial fibrillation (AF). To estimate the incidence of previously undetected AF that would be captured using a continuous 14-day ECG monitor and the associated risk of stroke. METHODS AND

resultsWe analysed data from a cohort of patients >65 years old with hypertension and a pacemaker, but without known AF. For each participant, we simulated 1000 ECG monitors by randomly selecting 14-day windows in the 6 months following enrolment and calculated the average AF burden (total time in AF). We used Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for CHA2DS2-VASc score to estimate the risk of subsequent ischaemic stroke or systemic embolism (SSE) associated with burdens of AF > and <6 min. Among 2470 participants, the median CHA2DS2-VASc score was 4.0, and 44 patients experienced SSE after 6 months following enrolment. The proportion of participants with an AF burden >6 min was 3.10% (95% CI 2.53-3.72). This was consistent across strata of age and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Over a mean follow-up of 2.4 years, the rate of SSE among patients with <6 min of AF was 0.70%/year, compared to 2.18%/year (adjusted HR 3.02; 95% CI 1.39-6.56) in those with >6 min of AF.

conclusionsApproximately 3% of individuals aged >65 years with hypertension may have more than 6 min of AF detected by a 14-day ECG monitor. This is associated with a stroke risk of over 2% per year. Whether oral anticoagulation will reduce stroke in these patients is unknown.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationBrain IschemiaHypertensionStrokeAgedAnticoagulantsElectrocardiographyHumansIncidenceRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAnticoagulantsAtrial fibrillationHolter monitorOral anticoagulationScreeningSimulationStroke

Identifiers

PMID35061877
OpenAlexW4206349174

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.