Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35058592›Full record

Observational studyBritish journal of cancer2022

Risk-stratified selection to colonoscopy in FIT colorectal cancer screening: development and temporal validation of a prediction model.

Mette Kielsholm Thomsen, Lars Pedersen, Rune Erichsen, Timothy L Lash, Henrik T Sørensen, Ellen M Mikkelsen

Open access · bronzeAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in British journal of cancer, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Mette Kielsholm ThomsenDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University and Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark. mkthomsen@clin.au.dk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7308-3431
Lars PedersenDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University and Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Rune ErichsenDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University and Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Timothy L LashDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University and Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Henrik T SørensenDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University and Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Ellen M MikkelsenDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University and Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Aarhus University Hospital · DKEmory University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFaecal immunochemical tests (FITs) yield many false positives and challenge colonoscopy capacity in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programmes. We aimed to develop a risk-based selection of participants to undergo diagnostic colonoscopy.

methodsThe study was observational and used registry data from the Danish CRC screening programme. We included all participants invited 2014-2016 with a positive FIT (≥ 20 μg fHb/g) who underwent colonoscopy (n = 56,459). We predicted the risk of CRC or advanced neoplasia (AN) from age, gender and FIT value using logistic regression. We evaluated calibration and discrimination and conducted temporal validation. We compared the number of CRCs and adenomas identified by risk cut-offs and by a corresponding FIT cut-off.

resultsAUCs were 74.9% (95% CI: 73.6; 76.3) and 67.4% (95% CI: 66.8%; 68.0%) for the models predicting CRC and AN in the validation dataset. The cut-off of CRC risk calculated from age, gender and FIT value identified 1.03 times (95% CI: 1.02; 1.05) more CRCs and 1.01 times (95% CI: 1.01; 1.01) more medium/high-risk adenomas compared with the corresponding FIT cut-off.

conclusionsWith existing data, risk-stratified FIT screening using a risk cut-off instead of a FIT cut-off can slightly improve the selection to colonoscopy of those at highest risk of cancer and adenomas.

Indexed as

AdenomaColorectal NeoplasmsColonoscopyEarly Detection of CancerFecesHemoglobinsHumansMass ScreeningOccult BloodHemoglobins

Identifiers

PMID35058592
PMCPMC9023517
OpenAlexW4206558817

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.