Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35058567›Full record

ArticleMolecular psychiatry2022

Predicting suicide attempts among U.S. Army soldiers after leaving active duty using information available before leaving active duty: results from the Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers-Longitudinal Study (STARRS-LS).

Ian H Stanley, Carol Chu, Sarah M Gildea, Irving H Hwang, Andrew J King, Chris J Kennedy, Alex Luedtke, Brian P Marx, Robert O'Brien, Maria V Petukhova and 5 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular psychiatry, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.4field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Mitigating Suicide Risk During the Military-to-Civilian Transition: The VA Veteran Sponsorship Initiative.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
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  15. Military experiences, connection to military identity, and time since military discharge as predictors of United States veteran suicide risk.Military psychology : the official journal of the Division of Military Psychology, American Psychological Association · 2024
    Article
  16. Predicting Homelessness Among Transitioning U.S. Army Soldiers.American journal of preventive medicine · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Ian H StanleyNational Center for PTSD, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA, USA.
Carol ChuMinneapolis VA Health Care System, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Sarah M GildeaDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Irving H HwangDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Andrew J KingDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Chris J KennedyDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7444-2766
Alex LuedtkeDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Brian P MarxNational Center for PTSD, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA, USA.
Robert O'BrienVA Health Services Research and Development Service, Washington, DC, USA.
Maria V PetukhovaDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Nancy A SampsonDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Dawne VogtNational Center for PTSD, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA, USA.
Murray B SteinDepartment of Psychiatry, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9564-2871
Robert J UrsanoDepartment of Psychiatry, Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1861-9173
Ronald C KesslerDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. kessler@hcp.med.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4831-2305
Harvard University · USBoston University · USHealth Services Research & Development · USMinneapolis VA Health Care System · USUniformed Services University of the Health Sciences · USUniversity of California San Diego · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

Modifiable Risk and Protective Factors for Suicidal Behaviors in the US ArmyU01MH087981 · NIMH · HENRY M. JACKSON FDN FOR THE ADV MIL/MED · PI STEIN, MURRAY B., URSANO, ROBERT J. · 2009 to 2013
$65.0M
Postdoctoral Training Program in Stress and TraumaT32MH019836 · NIMH · TUFTS UNIVERSITY BOSTON · PI DENISE M. SLOAN · 1996 to 2026
$4.7M
NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH019836NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH087981
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Suicide risk is elevated among military service members who recently transitioned to civilian life. Identifying high-risk service members before this transition could facilitate provision of targeted preventive interventions. We investigated the feasibility of doing this by attempting to develop a prediction model for self-reported suicide attempts (SAs) after leaving or being released from active duty in the Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers-Longitudinal Study (STARRS-LS). This study included two self-report panel surveys (LS1: 2016-2018, LS2: 2018-2019) administered to respondents who previously participated while on active duty in one of three Army STARRS 2011-2014 baseline self-report surveys. We focus on respondents who left active duty >12 months before their LS survey (n = 8899). An ensemble machine learning model using predictors available prior to leaving active duty was developed in a 70% training sample and validated in a 30% test sample. The 12-month self-reported SA prevalence (SE) was 1.0% (0.1). Test sample AUC (SE) was 0.74 (0.06). The 15% of respondents with highest predicted risk included nearly two-thirds of 12-month SAs and over 80% of medically serious 12-month SAs. These results show that it is possible to identify soldiers at high post-transition self-report SA risk before the transition. Future model development is needed to examine prediction of SAs assessed by administrative data and using surveys administered closer to the time of leaving active duty.

Indexed as

Military PersonnelSuicide, AttemptedHumansLongitudinal StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSelf ReportUnited States

Identifiers

PMID35058567
PMCPMC9106812
OpenAlexW4206228435

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.