ArticleInternational journal for equity in health2022
The distributional effects of tobacco tax increases across regions in Mexico: an extended cost-effectiveness analysis.
Article in International journal for equity in health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Extended cost-effectiveness analysis in global health systems: a scoping review of geographic gaps and research trends.Cost effectiveness and resource allocation : C/E · 2026Review
- Tobacco industry pricing strategies during recent tax adjustments in Mexico: evidence from sales data.Tobacco control · 2025Article
- Unlocking the power of tobacco taxation to mitigate the social costs of smoking in Mexico: a microsimulation model.Health policy and planning · 2024Article
- Equity implications of tobacco taxation: results from WHO FCTC investment cases.Tobacco control · 2024Article
- Current Trends in Chronic Non-Communicable Disease Management: A Bibliometric Analysis of the Past Two Decades.Journal of multidisciplinary healthcare · 2024Article
- [Benefits of the cigarette tax in Mexico, by sex and income quintileBenefícios do imposto sobre cigarros no México: análise por sexo e quintil de renda].Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2022Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundSeveral studies have shown the beneficial effects of tobacco fiscal policy, but distributional effects have been less examined, especially at the subnational level. The objective of this study is to analyse the distributional effects of a one-peso tobacco tax increase (roughly equivalent to tripling the current excise tax) on health, poverty, and financial outcomes at the subnational level in Mexico.
methodsWe employ an extended cost-effectiveness analysis that estimates life-years gained, smoking attributable deaths averted, treatment costs averted, number of persons avoiding poverty and catastrophic health expenditures, and additional tax revenues by income group across five regions.
resultsWith the one-peso tax increase (or 44% price increase), about 1.5 million smokers would quit smoking across the five regions, resulting in nearly 630 thousand premature deaths averted and 12.6 million life years gained. The bottom income quintile would gain three times more life years gains than the top quintile (ratio 3:1), and the largest gain for the most deprived would occur in the South (ratio 19:1), the region with the highest poverty incidence. Costs averted and additional tax revenues would reach 44.6 and 16.2 billion pesos, respectively. Moreover, 251 thousand individuals would avoid falling into poverty, including 53.2 in the lowest income quintile, and 563.9 thousand would avoid catastrophic health expenditures. Overall, the bottom income group would obtain 26% of the life years gained and 24% of the cost averted, while only paying 3% of the additional tax revenue.
conclusionsThe most significant gains from a substantial cigarette price increase would be for the poorest 20%, especially in the South, the most impoverished region of Mexico. Therefore, tobacco taxes are an opportunity for governments to advance in equity and towards the achievement of sustainable development goals on non-communicable diseases.
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