Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35048162›Full record

ArticleNeuroradiology2022

Prognosis of a second clinical event from baseline MRI in patients with a CIS: a multicenter study using a machine learning approach.

Deborah Pareto, Aran Garcia-Vidal, Sergiu Groppa, Gabriel Gonzalez-Escamilla, Mara Rocca, Massimo Filippi, Christian Enzinger, Michael Khalil, Sara Llufriu, Mar Tintoré and 2 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Neuroradiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 33% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Deborah ParetoDepartment of Radiology (IDI), Neuroradiology Section, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron and Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain. deborah.pareto.idi@gencat.cat.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7356-3769
Aran Garcia-VidalDepartment of Radiology (IDI), Neuroradiology Section, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron and Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Sergiu GroppaDepartment of Neurology, University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Mainz, Germany.
Gabriel Gonzalez-EscamillaDepartment of Neurology, University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Mainz, Germany.
Mara RoccaNeuroimaging Research Unit, Institute of Experimental Neurology, Division of Neuroscience, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Massimo FilippiNeuroimaging Research Unit, Institute of Experimental Neurology, Division of Neuroscience, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Christian EnzingerDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Michael KhalilDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Sara LlufriuCenter of Neuroimmunology, Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM) Group, Hospital Clinic, IDIBAPS and Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Mar TintoréDepartment of Neurology/Neuroimmunology, Multiple Sclerosis Center of Catalonia (Cemcat), Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Jaume Sastre-GarrigaDepartment of Neurology/Neuroimmunology, Multiple Sclerosis Center of Catalonia (Cemcat), Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Àlex RoviraDepartment of Radiology (IDI), Neuroradiology Section, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron and Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona · ESJohannes Gutenberg University Mainz · DEMedical University of Graz · ATConsorci Institut D'Investigacions Biomediques August Pi I Sunyer · ESIstituti di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico · ITVita-Salute San Raffaele University · IT

Funding

Instituto de Salud Carlos III PI18/00823
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo predict the occurrence of a second clinical event in patients with a CIS suggestive of MS, from baseline magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), by means of a pattern recognition approach.

methodsTwo hundred sixty-six patients with a CIS were recruited from four participating centers. Over a follow-up of 3 years, 130 patients had a second clinical episode and 136 did not. Grey matter and white matter T1-hypointensities masks segmented from 3D T1-weighted images acquired on 3 T scanners were used as features for the classification approach. Differences between CIS that remained CIS and those that developed a second event were assessed at a global level and at a regional level, arranging the regions according to their contribution to the classification model.

resultsAll classification metrics were around or even below 50% for both global and regional approaches. Accuracies did not change when T1-hypointensity maps were added to the model; just the specificity was increased up to 80%. Among the 30 regions with the largest contribution, 26 were grey matter and 4 were white matter regions. For grey matter, regions contributing showed either a larger or a smaller volume in the group of patients that remained CIS, compared to those with a second event. The volume of T1-hypointensities was always larger for the group that presented a second event.

conclusionsPrediction of a second clinical event in CIS patients from baseline MRI seems to present a highly heterogeneous pattern, leading to very low classification accuracies. Adding the T1-hypointensity maps does not seem to improve the accuracy of the classification model.

Indexed as

Multiple SclerosisBrainGray MatterHumansMachine LearningMagnetic Resonance ImagingPrognosisClinically isolated syndromeMachine learningMagnetic resonance imagingMultiple sclerosisPrognosisSupport vector machine

Identifiers

PMID35048162
OpenAlexW4205535235

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.