Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35042495›Full record

Observational studyBMC surgery2022

Morbimortality assessment in abdominal surgery: are we predicting or overreacting?

Sebastian Valenzuela, Laura Niño, Danny Conde, Felipe Girón, Lina Rodríguez, David Venegas, Carlos Rey, Ricardo Nassar, Marco Vanegas, Daniel Jiménez

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC surgery, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 32% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Sebastian ValenzuelaDepartment of Surgery, Hospital Universitario Mederi, Calle 103a 21-93, 110111, Bogotá, D.C, Colombia.
Laura NiñoSchool of Medicine, Universidad del Rosario, Bogotá, Colombia.
Danny CondeDepartment of Surgery, Hospital Universitario Mederi, Calle 103a 21-93, 110111, Bogotá, D.C, Colombia. condedanny889@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1365-4674
Felipe GirónDepartment of Surgery, Hospital Universitario Mederi, Calle 103a 21-93, 110111, Bogotá, D.C, Colombia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2138-8791
Lina RodríguezSchool of Medicine, Universidad de los Andes, 111711, Bogotá, Colombia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5186-3402
David VenegasDepartment of Surgery, Hospital Universitario Mederi, Calle 103a 21-93, 110111, Bogotá, D.C, Colombia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8296-1419
Carlos ReyDepartment of Surgery, Hospital Universitario Mederi, Calle 103a 21-93, 110111, Bogotá, D.C, Colombia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6888-5595
Ricardo NassarSchool of Medicine, Universidad del Rosario, Bogotá, Colombia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4296-6677
Marco VanegasDepartment of Surgery, Hospital Universitario Mederi, Calle 103a 21-93, 110111, Bogotá, D.C, Colombia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5298-3825
Daniel JiménezSchool of Medicine, Universidad del Rosario, Bogotá, Colombia.
Hospital Universitario San Ignacio · COUniversidad de Los Andes · COUniversidad del Rosario · CO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHigh-risk surgical procedures represent a fundamental part of general surgery practice due to its significant rates of morbidity and mortality. Different predictive tools have been created in order to quantify perioperative morbidity and mortality risk. POSSUM (Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enumeration of Mortality and morbidity) is one of the most widely validated predictive scores considering physiological and operative variables to precisely define morbimortality risk. Nevertheless, seeking greater accuracy in predictions P-POSSUM was proposed. We aimed to compare POSSUM and P-POSSUM for patients undergoing abdominal surgery.

methodsA retrospective observational study with a prospective database was conducted. Patients over 18 years old who complied with inclusion criteria between 2015 and 2016 were included. Variables included in the POSSUM and P-POSSUM Scores were analyzed. Descriptive statistics of all study parameters were provided. The analysis included socio-demographic data, laboratory values ​​, and imaging. Bivariate analysis was performed.

results350 Patients were included in the analysis, 55.1% were female. The mean age was 55.9 ± 20.4 years old. POSSUM revealed a moderated index score in 61.7% of the patients, mean score of 12.85 points ± 5.61. 89.1% of patients had no neoplastic diagnosis associated. Overall morbidity and mortality rate was 14.2% and 7.1%. P-POSSUM could predict more precisely mortality (p < 0.00).

conclusionsThe POSSUM score is likely to overestimate the risk of morbidity and mortality in patients with high/moderate risk, while the P-POSSUM score seems to be a more accurate predictor of mortality risk. Further studies are needed to confirm our results.

Indexed as

Postoperative ComplicationsAdolescentAdultAgedFemaleHumansMiddle AgedMorbidityRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentSeverity of Illness IndexCritical careLaparotomyMortalityPrognosisRisk prediction model

Identifiers

PMID35042495
PMCPMC8764813
OpenAlexW4205357160

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.