Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35041022›Full record

Observational studyDiabetologia2022

Circulating metabolite profile in young adulthood identifies long-term diabetes susceptibility: the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study.

Venkatesh L Murthy, Matthew Nayor, Mercedes Carnethon, Jared P Reis, Donald Lloyd-Jones, Norrina B Allen, Robert Kitchen, Paolo Piaggi, Lyn M Steffen, Ramachandran S Vasan and 3 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Diabetologia, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. Metabolomic Pathways of Inflammation and Mitochondrial Dysfunction Are Related to Worsening Healthy Aging Index and Mortality.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 9 institutions in 2 countries.

Venkatesh L MurthyDepartment of Medicine and Radiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. vlmurthy@med.umich.edu.
Matthew NayorSection of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Mercedes CarnethonNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Jared P ReisNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Donald Lloyd-JonesNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Norrina B AllenNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Robert KitchenSimches Cardiovascular Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Paolo PiaggiDepartment of Information Engineering, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
Lyn M SteffenUniversity of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Ramachandran S VasanSection of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Jane E FreedmanVanderbilt Translational and Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA.
Clary B ClishBroad Institute of Harvard and MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Ravi V ShahVanderbilt Translational and Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA. ravi.shah@vumc.org.ORCID 0000-0002-4471-7156
Northwestern University · USBoston University · USVanderbilt University · USBroad Institute · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USNational Heart Lung and Blood Institute · USUniversity of Michigan · USUniversity of Minnesota · USUniversity of Pisa · IT

Funding

ROLE OF DIETARY CONSTITUENTS ON GENE EXPRESSION IN INTESTINAL EPITHELIUMP30DK040561 · NIDDK · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Elizabeth Austen Lawson, Takara Leah Stanley · 1994 to 2026
$31.6M
FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDY - YEAR 5 EXAM75N92019D00031 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · 2019 to 2024
$29.8M
Metabolomic predictors of insulin resistance and diabetesR01DK081572 · NIDDK · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI CLISH, CLARY B, GERSZTEN, ROBERT E · 2008 to 2025
$9.3M
Metabolic Responses to an Oral Mixed Meal Tolerance Test: Intra-individual changes, correlates, and prognostic significanceR01HL156975 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI NAYOR, MATTHEW G. · 2021 to 2025
$3.3M
Implications of metabolism on healthy aging in African and Caucasian Americans: the Health ABC studyR01AG059729 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MURTHY, VENKATESH LOCHARLA, NEWMAN, ANNE B. · 2018 to 2022
$3.1M
Molecular markers of early cardiometabolic health transitions in the CARDIA studyR01HL136685 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MURTHY, VENKATESH LOCHARLA, SHAH, RAVI · 2017 to 2021
$2.6M
Metabolic Signatures of Impaired Cardiorespiratory Fitness: Correlates, Prognostic Significance and Modulation with Exercise TrainingK23HL138260 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI NAYOR, MATTHEW G. · 2017 to 2021
$998k
NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92019D00031NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800006INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800007INHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL138260NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL136685NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL156975NIA NIH HHS R01 AG059729NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK040561NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK081572
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisThe aim of this work was to define metabolic correlates and pathways of diabetes pathogenesis in young adults during a subclinical latent phase of diabetes development.

methodsWe studied 2083 young adults of Black and White ethnicity in the prospective observational cohort Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study (mean ± SD age 32.1 ± 3.6 years; 43.9% women; 42.7% Black; mean ± SD BMI 25.6 ± 4.9 kg/m

resultsWe identified known and novel metabolites associated with endophenotypes that delineate the complex pathophysiological architecture of diabetes, spanning mechanisms of muscle insulin resistance, inflammatory lipid signalling and beta cell metabolism (e.g. bioactive lipids, amino acids and microbe- and diet-derived metabolites). Integrating endophenotypes of diabetes susceptibility with the metabolome generated two multi-parametric metabolite scores, one of which (a proinflammatory adiposity score) was associated with incident diabetes across the life course in participants from both the CARDIA study (young adults; HR in a fully adjusted model 2.10 [95% CI 1.72, 2.55], p<0.0001) and FHS (middle-aged and older adults; HR 1.33 [95% CI 1.14, 1.56], p=0.0004). A metabolite score based on the outcome of diabetes was strongly related to diabetes in CARDIA study participants (fully adjusted HR 3.41 [95% CI 2.85, 4.07], p<0.0001) but not in the older FHS population (HR 1.15 [95% CI 0.99, 1.33], p=0.07). CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationSelected metabolic abnormalities in young adulthood identify individuals with heightened diabetes risk independent of race, sex and traditional diabetes risk factors. These signatures replicate across the life course.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Insulin ResistanceAdultAgedCohort StudiesCoronary VesselsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsYoung AdultDiabetesMetabolomicsPrevention

Identifiers

PMID35041022
PMCPMC8969893
OpenAlexW4205668831

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.