ArticleGlobal change biology2022
Timing and magnitude of climate-driven range shifts in transboundary fish stocks challenge their management.
Article in Global change biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed.
- Thermal Vulnerability of Reef Fish and Implications for Subsistence Fisheries Throughout the Caribbean.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Mapping the Global Habitat Redistribution of Critically Endangered Commercial Fish Species Under Climate Change.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Shifts and expansion in a spatially structured fish stock spanning international borders in the Northwest Atlantic.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026Article
- Vulnerability of fishery resources to climate change in the Tropical Eastern Pacific Ecosystem off Peru.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Genetics in the Ocean's Twilight Zone: Population Structure of the Silvery Lightfish Across Its Distribution Range.Evolutionary applications · 2026Article
- Integrated ocean governance is needed in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean to foster fisheries, conservation and resilience to climate change.Discover Oceans · 2026Review
- Climate change drives shifts in straddling fish stocks in the world's ocean.Science advances · 2025Article
- Genetics in the Ocean's Twilight Zone: Population Structure of the Glacier Lanternfish Across Its Distribution Range.Evolutionary applications · 2024Article
- The global extent and severity of operational interactions between conflicting pinnipeds and fisheries.Nature communications · 2024Article
- 3D ocean assessments reveal that fisheries reach deep but marine protection remains shallow.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Article
- Thermal sensitivity of field metabolic rate predicts differential futures for bluefin tuna juveniles across the Atlantic Ocean.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Groundfish biodiversity change in northeastern Pacific waters under projected warming and deoxygenation.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Article
- Recommendations for quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate projections of species distributions.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Timing and magnitude of climate-driven range shifts in transboundary fish stocks challenge their management.Global change biology · 2022Article
- The transboundary nature of the world's exploited marine species.Scientific reports · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
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Abstract
Climate change is shifting the distribution of shared fish stocks between neighboring countries' Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) and the high seas. The timescale of these transboundary shifts determines how climate change will affect international fisheries governance. Here, we explore this timescale by coupling a large ensemble simulation of an Earth system model under a high emission climate change scenario to a dynamic population model. We show that by 2030, 23% of transboundary stocks will have shifted and 78% of the world's EEZs will have experienced at least one shifting stock. By the end of this century, projections show a total of 45% of stocks shifting globally and 81% of EEZs waters with at least one shifting stock. The magnitude of such shifts is reflected in changes in catch proportion between EEZs sharing a transboundary stock. By 2030, global EEZs are projected to experience an average change of 59% in catch proportion of transboundary stocks. Many countries that are highly dependent on fisheries for livelihood and food security emerge as hotspots for transboundary shifts. These hotspots are characterized by early shifts in the distribution of an important number of transboundary stocks. Existing international fisheries agreements need to be assessed for their capacity to address the social-ecological implications of climate-change-driven transboundary shifts. Some of these agreements will need to be adjusted to limit potential conflict between the parties of interest. Meanwhile, new agreements will need to be anticipatory and consider these concerns and their associated uncertainties to be resilient to global change.
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