Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35039624›Full record

ArticleNPJ digital medicine2022

Discovery of signatures of fatal neonatal illness in vital signs using highly comparative time-series analysis.

Justin C Niestroy, J Randall Moorman, Maxwell A Levinson, Sadnan Al Manir, Timothy W Clark, Karen D Fairchild, Douglas E Lake

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ digital medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The FAIRSCAPE AI-readiness Framework for Biomedical Research.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Monitoring chaos at the cot-side.Pediatric research · 2024
    Article
  8. Observational
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Justin C NiestroyDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, 22947, USA.
J Randall MoormanCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, 22947, USA. rm3h@virginia.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5772-1648
Maxwell A LevinsonDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, 22947, USA.
Sadnan Al ManirDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, 22947, USA.
Timothy W ClarkDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, 22947, USA.
Karen D FairchildCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, 22947, USA.
Douglas E LakeCenter for Advanced Medical Analytics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, 22947, USA.

Funding

Predictive Informatics Monitoring in the Neonatal Intensive Care UnitR01HD072071 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA · PI KAREN D FAIRCHILD, Brynne Archer Sullivan · 2014 to 2026
$7.6M
Prematurity-Related Ventilatory Control: Leadership Data and Coordination Center (LDCC)U01HL133708 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA · PI LAKE, DOUGLAS E, MOORMAN, JOSEPH RANDALL · 2016 to 2020
$3.7M
NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL133708NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD072071U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) 3 U01 HL133708
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To seek new signatures of illness in heart rate and oxygen saturation vital signs from Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) patients, we implemented highly comparative time-series analysis to discover features of all-cause mortality in the next 7 days. We collected 0.5 Hz heart rate and oxygen saturation vital signs of infants in the University of Virginia NICU from 2009 to 2019. We applied 4998 algorithmic operations from 11 mathematical families to random daily 10 min segments from 5957 NICU infants, 205 of whom died. We clustered the results and selected a representative from each, and examined multivariable logistic regression models. 3555 operations were usable; 20 cluster medoids held more than 81% of the information, and a multivariable model had AUC 0.83. New algorithms outperformed others: moving threshold, successive increases, surprise, and random walk. We computed provenance of the computations and constructed a software library with links to the data. We conclude that highly comparative time-series analysis revealed new vital sign measures to identify NICU patients at the highest risk of death in the next week.

Identifiers

PMID35039624
PMCPMC8764068

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.