Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35034373›Full record

ArticleHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2022

Machine learning algorithms for predicting direct-acting antiviral treatment failure in chronic hepatitis C: An HCV-TARGET analysis.

Haesuk Park, Wei-Hsuan Lo-Ciganic, James Huang, Yonghui Wu, Linda Henry, Joy Peter, Mark Sulkowski, David R Nelson

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
5.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. The role of artificial intelligence in the management of liver diseases.The Kaohsiung journal of medical sciences · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Haesuk ParkPharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3299-8111
Wei-Hsuan Lo-CiganicPharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6590-4770
James HuangPharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Yonghui WuDepartment of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Linda HenryPharmaceutical Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Joy PeterDepartment of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Mark SulkowskiJohns Hopkins Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2145-6352
David R NelsonDepartment of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6344-8548
University of Florida · USJohns Hopkins University · US

Funding

Patient Oriented Research in Hepatitis C-infected Injection Drug UsersK24DA034621 · NIDA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SULKOWSKI, MARK SEBASTIAN · 2012 to 2022
$1.2M
Medicaid Prior Authorization Policies for Chronic Hepatitis C Treatment in Vulnerable PopulationsK01DA045618 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI PARK, HAESUK · 2018 to 2022
$648k
NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA045618NIDA NIH HHS K24 DA034621
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsWe aimed to develop and validate machine learning algorithms to predict direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment failure among patients with HCV infection. APPROACH AND

resultsWe used HCV-TARGET registry data to identify HCV-infected adults receiving all-oral DAA treatment and having virologic outcome. Potential pretreatment predictors (n = 179) included sociodemographic, clinical characteristics, and virologic data. We applied multivariable logistic regression as well as elastic net, random forest, gradient boosting machine (GBM), and feedforward neural network machine learning algorithms to predict DAA treatment failure. Training (n = 4894) and validation (n = 1631) patient samples had similar sociodemographic and clinical characteristics (mean age, 57 years; 60% male; 66% White; 36% with cirrhosis). Of 6525 HCV-infected adults, 95.3% achieved sustained virologic response, whereas 4.7% experienced DAA treatment failure. In the validation sample, machine learning approaches performed similarly in predicting DAA treatment failure (C statistic [95% CI]: GBM, 0.69 [0.64-0.74]; random forest, 0.68 [0.63-0.73]; feedforward neural network, 0.66 [0.60-0.71]; elastic net, 0.64 [0.59-0.70]), and all four outperformed multivariable logistic regression (0.51 [0.46-0.57]). Using the Youden index to identify the balanced risk score threshold, GBM had 66.2% sensitivity and 65.1% specificity, and 12 individuals were needed to evaluate to identify 1 DAA treatment failure. Over 55% of patients with treatment failure were classified by the GBM in the top three risk decile subgroups (positive predictive value: 6%-14%). The top 10 GBM-identified predictors included albumin, liver enzymes (aspartate aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase), total bilirubin levels, sex, HCV viral loads, sodium level, HCC, platelet levels, and tobacco use.

conclusionsMachine learning algorithms performed effectively for risk prediction and stratification of DAA treatment failure.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularHepatitis CHepatitis C, ChronicLiver NeoplasmsAdultAlgorithmsAntiviral AgentsFemaleHepacivirusHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedSustained Virologic ResponseTreatment FailureAntiviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID35034373
PMCPMC9287493
OpenAlexW4206555576

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.