Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35034140›Full record

Observational studyEuropean radiology2022

Early radiological worsening of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia predicts the need for ventilatory support.

Juana María Plasencia-Martínez, Andrés Carrillo-Alcaraz, Miguel Martín-Cascón, Rafael Pérez-Costa, Mónica Ballesta-Ruiz, Ana Blanco-Barrio, Ignacio Herves-Escobedo, José-Miguel Gómez-Verdú, Julián Alcaraz-Martínez, Sergio Alemán-Belando and 1 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in European radiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Juana María Plasencia-MartínezRadiology Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain. plasen79@gmail.com.
Andrés Carrillo-AlcarazIntensive Care Medicine Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
Miguel Martín-CascónInternal Medicine Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
Rafael Pérez-CostaEmergency Medicine Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
Mónica Ballesta-RuizEpidemology and Public Health Regional Health Council, IMIB-Arrixaca, Universidad de Murcia, Murcia, Spain.
Ana Blanco-BarrioRadiology Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
Ignacio Herves-EscobedoRadiology Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
José-Miguel Gómez-VerdúInternal Medicine Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
Julián Alcaraz-MartínezEmergency Medicine Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
Sergio Alemán-BelandoInternal Medicine Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
María José Carrillo-BurgosEmergency Medicine Department, Hospital General Universitario JM Morales Meseguer, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, s/n, 30008, Murcia, Spain.
Hospital General Universitario Morales Meseguer · ESUniversidad de Murcia · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesIdentifying early markers of poor prognosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is mandatory. Our purpose is to analyze by chest radiography if rapid worsening of COVID-19 pneumonia in the initial days has predictive value for ventilatory support (VS) need.

methodsAmbispective observational ethically approved study in COVID-19 pneumonia inpatients, validated in a second outpatient sample. Brixia score (BS) was applied to the first and second chest radiography required for suspected COVID-19 pneumonia to determine the predictive capacity of BS worsening for VS need. Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was previously analyzed among three radiologists. Sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios, AUC, and odds ratio were calculated using ROC curves and binary logistic regression analysis. A value of p < .05 was considered statistically significant.

resultsA total of 120 inpatients (55 ± 14 years, 68 men) and 112 outpatients (56 ± 13 years, 61 men) were recruited. The average ICC of the BS was between 0.812 (95% confidence interval 0.745-0.878) and 0.906 (95% confidence interval 0.844-0.940). According to the multivariate analysis, a BS worsening per day > 1.3 points within 10 days of the onset of symptoms doubles the risk for requiring VS in inpatients and 5 times in outpatients (p < .001). The findings from the second chest radiography were always better predictors of VS requirement than those from the first one.

conclusionThe early radiological worsening of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia after symptoms onset is a determining factor of the final prognosis. In elderly patients with some comorbidity and pneumonia, a 48-72-h follow-up radiograph is recommended. KEY POINTS: • An early worsening on chest X-ray in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia is highly predictive of the need for ventilatory support. • This radiological worsening rate can be easily assessed by comparing the first and the second chest X-ray. • In elderly patients with some comorbidity and SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia, close early radiological follow-up is recommended.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2AgedComorbidityFemaleHumansMalePrognosisRadiographyBrixia scoreCOVID-19Mechanical ventilationPrognosisRadiography

Identifiers

PMID35034140
PMCPMC8761087
OpenAlexW4206496666

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.