Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35029707›Full record

ArticleTropical animal health and production2022

Assessing machine learning techniques in forecasting lumpy skin disease occurrence based on meteorological and geospatial features.

Ehsanallah Afshari Safavi

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tropical animal health and production, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 52 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ehsanallah Afshari SafaviDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran. eafshari@um.ac.ir.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7022-0867
Ferdowsi University of Mashhad · IR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Lumpy skin disease virus (LSDV) causes an infectious disease in cattle. Due to its direct relationship with the survival of arthropod vectors, geospatial and climatic features play a vital role in the epidemiology of the disease. The objective of this study was to assess the ability of some machine learning algorithms to forecast the occurrence of LSDV infection based on meteorological and geological attributes. Initially, ExtraTreesClassifier algorithm was used to select the important predictive features in forecasting the disease occurrence in unseen (test) data among meteorological, animal population density, dominant land cover, and elevation attributes. Some machine learning techniques revealed high accuracy in predicting the LSDV occurrence in test data (up to 97%). In terms of area under curve (AUC) and F1 performance metric scores, the artificial neural network (ANN) algorithm outperformed other machine learning methods in predicting the occurrence of LSDV infection in unseen data with the corresponding values of 0.97 and 0.94, respectively. Using this algorithm, the model consisted of all predictive features and the one which only included meteorological attributes as important features showed similar predictive performance. According to the findings of this research, ANN can be used to forecast the occurrence of LSDV infection with high precision using geospatial and meteorological parameters. Applying the forecasting power of these methods could be a great help in conducting screening and awareness programs, as well as taking preventive measures like vaccination in areas where the occurrence of LSDV infection is a high risk.

Indexed as

Cattle DiseasesLumpy Skin DiseaseLumpy skin disease virusAnimalsCattleMachine LearningVaccinationForecastingGeospatial featuresLumpy skin diseaseMachine learning techniquesMeteorological parameters

Identifiers

PMID35029707
PMCPMC8759057
OpenAlexW4205802090

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.